NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Philips Stadion
Referee: J. Manschot
PSV Eindhoven
Match Timeline
Twente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
R. Flamingo · Assist: I. Perisic
PSV Eindhoven
16'
S. Orjasaeter · Assist: D. Weidmann
Twente
🟨
33'
Sergiño Dest
PSV Eindhoven
44'
N. Fernandez · Assist: K. Sildillia
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
46'
K. Sildillia ↔ A. Salah-Eddine
PSV Eindhoven
53'
D. Man · Assist: I. Perisic
PSV Eindhoven
56'
G. Til · Assist: D. Man
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
63'
D. Weidmann ↔ M. Kjolo
Twente
🟨
65'
Stav Lemkin
Twente
🔄
71'
N. Fernandez ↔ I. Saibari
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
71'
G. Til ↔ J. Veerman
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
71'
I. Perisic ↔ C. Driouech
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
73'
R. Zerrouki ↔ R. van Wolfswinkel
Twente
🔄
73'
S. Orjasaeter ↔ A. Verschueren
Twente
🔄
77'
D. Man ↔ M. Boadu
PSV Eindhoven
84'
R. Pepi
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
88'
R. Nijstad ↔ M. Pjaca
Twente
🔄
88'
K. Hlynsson ↔ R. Propper
Twente

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PSV Eindhoven Win 52.5%
Draw 7.3%
Twente Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven2.06
Twente1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WWDLW
112 GF / 60 GA
Twente Twente
WLDWL
58 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.73
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
32
BTTS Yes
21
34
Over 2.5
16
6.61
Shots on Goal
6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 41 matches
Twente Twente 33 matches
PSV Eindhoven Statistic Twente
28 Wins 15
5 Draws 13
8 Losses 5
112 Goals For 58
60 Goals Against 35
2.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
32 BTTS Yes 21
40 Over 1.5 28
34 Over 2.5 16
23 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 6
6.61 Shots On Goal 6.55
16.34 Total Shots 17.79
6.63 Corners 5.24
59.3% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. PSV Eindhoven come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Twente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. PSV Eindhoven arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 81 points compared to Twente in 3 on 58, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

PSV Eindhoven Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 81 points from 33 games, PSV Eindhoven bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 26 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 96:44, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Saibari (15 goals), R. Pepi (15 goals), G. Til (13 goals), with creative support from J. Veerman (14 assists), I. Perisic (10 assists), Mauro Junior (9 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Twente Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 58 points from 33 games, Twente bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 13 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 58:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Hlynsson (10 goals), D. Rots (9 goals), Ricky van Wolfswinkel (8 goals), with creative support from S. Lammers (7 assists), S. Orjasaeter (6 assists), K. Hlynsson (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 10 times, Twente won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:15 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / Twente 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PSV Eindhoven 4, Twente 2
H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 10, draws 4, Twente wins 1
Stats
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
Twente Twente
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
11 Corner Kicks 9
7 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
385 Total passes 355
311 Passes accurate 269
2.49 expected_goals 1.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven
Formation
Twente
M. Kovar
M. Kovar
K. Sildillia
🎯
K. Sildillia
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
Y. Gasiorowski
Y. Gasiorowski
S. Dest
S. Dest
P. Wanner
P. Wanner
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
D. Man
🎯
D. Man
G. Til
G. Til
I. Perisic
🎯
I. Perisic
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
P. Tyton
P. Tyton
B. van Rooij
B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
R. Nijstad
M. Rots
M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann
🎯
D. Weidmann
D. Rots
D. Rots
K. Hlynsson
K. Hlynsson
S. Orjasaeter
S. Orjasaeter
S. Lammers
S. Lammers
PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
M. Kovar
G
25
K. Sildillia
🎯 44' ↓ 46'
D
6
R. Flamingo
⚽ 15'
D
3
Y. Gasiorowski
D
8
S. Dest
🟨 33'
D
10
P. Wanner
M
31
N. Fernandez
⚽ 44' ↓ 71'
M
27
D. Man
⚽ 53' 🎯 56' ↓ 77'
M
20
G. Til
⚽ 56' ↓ 71'
M
5
I. Perisic
🎯 15' 🎯 53' ↓ 71'
M
9
R. Pepi
⚽ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Olij
G
24
N. Schiks
G
4
A. Obispo
D
21
M. Boadu
↑ 77'
F
34
I. Saibari
↑ 71'
M
23
J. Veerman
↑ 71'
M
2
A. Salah-Eddine
↑ 46'
D
11
C. Driouech
↑ 71'
F
56
J. Koller
M
35
J. van den Berg
M
52
J. Bawuah
M
Twente 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
P. Tyton
G
28
B. van Rooij
D
23
S. Lemkin
🟨 65'
D
43
R. Nijstad
↓ 88'
D
39
M. Rots
D
6
R. Zerrouki
↓ 73'
M
42
D. Weidmann
🎯 16' ↓ 63'
M
11
D. Rots
M
14
K. Hlynsson
↓ 88'
M
27
S. Orjasaeter
⚽ 16' ↓ 73'
M
10
S. Lammers
F
Substitutes
31
Y. Gerritsen
G
21
S. Karssies
G
9
R. van Wolfswinkel
↑ 73'
F
8
T. Booth
F
12
G. Peixoto
D
7
M. Pjaca
↑ 88'
F
3
R. Propper
↑ 88'
D
32
A. Verschueren
↑ 73'
M
4
M. Kjolo
↑ 63'
M
20
T. van den Belt
M
38
M. Bruns
D
25
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
F
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
2
2
D
21.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
0
3
L
Last matches: Twente
24.07.26
Fri
Twente
Emmen
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Twente
Gent
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
PAOK
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
Sportfreunde Lotte
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Twente
Aberdeen
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
03.05.26
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fri
Twente
Ajax
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ere
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ere
Twente
Utrecht
0
2
L
08.03.26
Ere
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Twente
Feyenoord
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
Twente
Groningen
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Twente
Telstar
1
1
D
07.02.26
Ere
Twente
Heerenveen
5
0
W
30.01.26
Ere
Twente
NAC Breda
2
2
D
H2H: PSV Eindhoven vs Twente
17.05.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
17.08.25
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
W
24.04.25
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
W
06.12.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
6
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
0
W
17.01.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
W
26.02.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
W
03.09.22
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
L
02.04.22
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
3
3
D
30.10.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
2
W
06.02.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
0
W
22.11.20
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
26.01.20
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
1
D
03.08.19
H2H
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
2
2
D
10.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
1
W
13.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
4
3
W
09.12.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
30.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
3
0
W
31.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
5
2
W
21.10.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Napoli
6
2
W
18.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
21.09.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
H2H at home: PSV Eindhoven
17.05.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
06.12.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
6
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
0
W
17.01.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
W
26.02.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
2
W
06.02.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
0
W
26.01.20
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
1
D
Last matches: Twente
24.07.26
Fri
Twente
Emmen
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
PAOK
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Twente
Ajax
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ere
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Twente
Telstar
1
1
D
30.01.26
Ere
Twente
NAC Breda
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ere
Twente
Heracles
2
0
W
21.12.25
Ere
Twente
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ere
Twente
Utrecht
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.11.25
Ere
Twente
Groningen
1
1
D
18.10.25
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
3
3
D
19.09.25
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
5
1
W
30.08.25
Ere
Twente
Excelsior
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ere
Twente
Heerenveen
2
1
W
10.08.25
Ere
Twente
PEC Zwolle
0
1
L
H2H away: Twente
17.05.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
L
06.12.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
6
1
L
17.03.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
0
L
17.01.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
L
26.02.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
2
L
06.02.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
3
0
L
26.01.20
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
1
1
D

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

PSV Eindhoven 4 missing
-
I. Saibari
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. van Bommel
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Schouten
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Mauro Junior
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Twente 2 missing
-
M. Hilgers
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Unnerstall
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT