PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
95%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
89.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.5%
|
- |
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PSV Eindhoven
38 matches
PEC Zwolle
30 matches
| PSV Eindhoven | Statistic | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 100 | Goals For | 40 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 2.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.53 | Shots On Goal | 3.57 |
| 16.37 | Total Shots | 9.93 |
| 6.84 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 59.3% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around PSV Eindhoven's more proactive style and PEC Zwolle's more cautious structure. PSV Eindhoven appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward PEC Zwolle. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. PSV Eindhoven arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to PEC Zwolle in 13 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward PEC Zwolle.
Operating from 1 place with 74 points from 30 games, PSV Eindhoven bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 24 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 84:40, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Saibari (15 goals), G. Til (13 goals), R. Pepi (11 goals), with creative support from J. Veerman (14 assists), I. Perisic (10 assists), Mauro Junior (9 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without I. Saibari, S. Dest, A. Plea, P. Wanner, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
So far, PEC Zwolle have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 34 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 40:60 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Kostons (11 goals), K. de Rooij (6 goals), T. Oosting (6 goals), with creative support from K. Kostons (6 assists), K. de Rooij (5 assists), Y. Namli (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Lagsir, J. Monteiro, J. Schendelaar unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 14 times, PEC Zwolle won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 58:11 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 15 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
Home
|
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
PEC Zwolle
Away
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|