NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

17.05.2026 12:30

PSV Eindhoven

5 - 1

Twente

Philips Stadion

Referee: J. Manschot

PSV Eindhoven

Match Timeline

Twente

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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PSV Eindhoven vs Twente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 52.5%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 78.4%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 81.9%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	52.5%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	78.4%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	81.9%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

PSV Eindhoven Win 52.5%

Draw 7.3%

Twente Win 40.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven2.06

Twente1.64

Recent Form (Last 5)

PSV Eindhoven

WWDLW

112 GF / 60 GA

Twente

WLDWL

58 GF / 35 GA

Key Stats

2.73

Average Goals Scored

1.76

1.46

Average Goals Conceded

1.06

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.61

Shots on Goal

6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PSV Eindhoven 41 matches

Twente 33 matches

PSV Eindhoven	Statistic	Twente
28	Wins	15
5	Draws	13
8	Losses	5
112	Goals For	58
60	Goals Against	35
2.73	Avg Goals Scored	1.76
1.46	Avg Goals Conceded	1.06
32	BTTS Yes	21
40	Over 1.5	28
34	Over 2.5	16
23	Over 3.5	10
7	Clean Sheets	8
2	Failed To Score	6
6.61	Shots On Goal	6.55
16.34	Total Shots	17.79
6.63	Corners	5.24
59.3%	Ball Possession	54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. PSV Eindhoven come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Twente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. PSV Eindhoven arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 81 points compared to Twente in 3 on 58, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

PSV Eindhoven Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 81 points from 33 games, PSV Eindhoven bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 26 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 96:44, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Saibari (15 goals), R. Pepi (15 goals), G. Til (13 goals), with creative support from J. Veerman (14 assists), I. Perisic (10 assists), Mauro Junior (9 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Twente Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 58 points from 33 games, Twente bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 13 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 58:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Hlynsson (10 goals), D. Rots (9 goals), Ricky van Wolfswinkel (8 goals), with creative support from S. Lammers (7 assists), S. Orjasaeter (6 assists), K. Hlynsson (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 10 times, Twente won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:15 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)

Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / Twente 4-2-3-1

Missing players: PSV Eindhoven 4, Twente 2

H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 10, draws 4, Twente wins 1

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven Home	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente Away	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L