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INDONESIA › LIGA 1
22.10.2026 08:30
Gelora BJ Habibie

PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PSM Makassar Win 34.4%
Draw 3.6%
Persebaya Surabaya Win 62%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSM Makassar1.28
Persebaya Surabaya1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
WWDLW
8 GF / 12 GA
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
WLDWL
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 5 matches
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 5 matches
PSM Makassar Statistic Persebaya Surabaya
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
8 Goals For 6
12 Goals Against 4
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, PSM Makassar won 4 times, Persebaya Surabaya won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from PSM Makassar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: PSM Makassar wins 4, draws 3, Persebaya Surabaya wins 6

Standings

Liga 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 8:1 7 12
W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:6 4 11
D W W D W
3 5 3 1 1 10:7 3 10
D L W W W
4 5 3 0 2 14:7 7 9
L W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 8:6 2 8
W D W D
6 4 2 2 0 4:2 2 8
W D W D
7 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
W D W L
8 5 1 4 0 10:8 2 7
D D W D D
9 4 2 1 1 8:6 2 7
D W L W
10 5 1 3 1 11:9 2 6
L D D D W
11 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L W L W L
12 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 5
W W L L D
13 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
W L D L D
14 5 1 2 2 8:12 -4 5
W L D D L
15 4 1 0 3 6:7 -1 3
W L L L
16 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 1
W L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 2:12 -10 0
L L L L L