Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- |
Progreso
Wanderers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
11 matches
Wanderers
11 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 9 | Goals For | 12 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wanderers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Wanderers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 14 points while Progreso sit 16 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Progreso expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and Wanderers in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control.
Progreso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 9:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Copelotti (2 goals), F. Fernandez (1 goals), Facundo de León (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Wanderers sit 12 with 14 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Labandeira (2 goals), J. Luna (2 goals), L. Cosentino (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 6 times, Wanderers won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Progreso's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Lineups
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Miramar
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Rampla Juniors
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Miramar
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 38 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wanderers
Away
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Home
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|