Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso1.08
Uruguay Montevideo1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Uruguay Montevideo
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
10 matches
Uruguay Montevideo
10 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 15 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 2 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Progreso's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Uruguay Montevideo -
H2H summary: Progreso wins 2, draws 0, Uruguay Montevideo wins 3
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
22.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
0
3
L
15.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Paysandu
1
0
W
01.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
18.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
05.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
3
2
W
21.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Miramar
1
3
L
07.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
2
2
D
08.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
2
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
H2H: Progreso vs Uruguay Montevideo
03.12.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
3
W
29.07.23
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
1
2
L
05.03.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
W
24.08.22
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
29.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Albion FC
3
2
W
H2H at home: Progreso
29.07.23
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
1
2
L
28.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
22.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
0
3
L
01.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
05.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
21.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
0
1
L
07.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
24.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
2
L
08.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
11.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
2
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
0
W
17.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
3
1
W
05.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
21.09.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
29.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rampla Juniors
0
1
L
11.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
1
L
03.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
19.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
1
L
05.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
1
5
L
21.06.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
H2H away: Uruguay Montevideo
29.07.23
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
1
2
W
28.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
W