LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.3%
1.83
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 82.3%
Draw 8.8%
FK Liepaja Win 8.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.52
FK Liepaja1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
39 GF / 30 GA
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WLDWL
48 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
14
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 26 matches
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 32 matches
Auda Statistic FK Liepaja
13 Wins 14
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 13
39 Goals For 48
30 Goals Against 50
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
14 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Auda's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FK Liepaja arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Liepaja. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 40 points from 22 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 37:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 28 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 28:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 6 times, FK Liepaja won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Auda's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Auda - / FK Liepaja 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Auda wins 6, draws 4, FK Liepaja wins 5
Last matches: Auda
04.07.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
Last matches: FK Liepaja
15.07.26
UEF
FK Liepaja
Dečić
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
FK Liepaja
Dečić
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
30.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
4
0
W
26.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
21.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
4
L
16.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
0
1
L
12.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
3
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
3
L
17.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
W
12.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
5
L
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
28.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
1
1
D
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
12.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
L
H2H: Auda vs FK Liepaja
11.07.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
08.04.26
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
W
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
27.07.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
2
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
0
0
D
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
2
1
L
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
09.04.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
Last matches: Auda
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
11.07.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
Last matches: FK Liepaja
15.07.26
UEF
FK Liepaja
Dečić
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
4
L
16.06.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
0
1
L
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
5
L
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
03.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
3
1
W
H2H away: FK Liepaja
11.07.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
L
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
L
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.60
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.62
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.48
Draw 3.64
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.01
Draw 2.27
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 2.66
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.05
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 1.75 1.16
Over 2.0 1.22
Over 2.25 1.41
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 2.75 1.72
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.15
Over 3.5 2.42
Over 3.75 2.83
Over 4.0 3.68
Over 4.25 4.00
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 9.60
Under 1.25 6.40
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 1.75 4.04
Under 2.0 3.50
Under 2.25 2.67
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.60
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.43
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 4.5 3.65
Over 5.5 6.40
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 18 4 1 68:20 48 58
W W W D W
2 22 18 2 2 54:16 38 56
D W W W L
3
Auda Home
22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W W L D W
5 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
6 22 6 7 9 24:38 -14 25
L W W W L
7 22 7 3 12 23:35 -12 24
L W L L D
8 22 4 8 10 15:33 -18 20
W L D L W
9 23 3 8 12 38:47 -9 17
L L L L L
10 23 3 4 16 21:59 -38 13
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga