Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.9
Racing Montevideo1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
16 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.78
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
8 matches
Racing Montevideo
9 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 16 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.56 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 4 times, Racing Montevideo won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Progreso's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Racing Montevideo 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 4, draws 2, Racing Montevideo wins 9
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
H2H: Progreso vs Racing Montevideo
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
L
07.07.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
W
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
L
22.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
09.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L
25.03.18
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L
09.12.12
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
29.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Albion FC
3
2
W
H2H at home: Progreso
30.03.25
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
07.07.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
W
10.03.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
W
22.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
09.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
25.03.18
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
09.12.12
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
07.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
11.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
CA River Plate
3
2
W
07.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
24.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
2
1
W
25.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
Villa Espanola
2
1
W
H2H away: Racing Montevideo
30.03.25
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
07.07.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
L
22.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
W
09.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
25.03.18
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
0
L
09.12.12
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W