Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.3%
|
1.98 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
6.00 |
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
29 matches
Racing Montevideo
29 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 14 |
| 4 | Draws | 11 |
| 18 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 35 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Progreso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 53 points while Progreso sit 16 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Progreso expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 25 points from 29 games and a place of 16, Progreso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 23:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 3 with 53 points from 29 outings, Racing Montevideo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, while the 35:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46:23 | 23 | 55 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Racing Montevideo
Away
|
29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 53 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:27 | 17 | 52 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43:38 | 5 | 46 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 35 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23:43 | -20 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28:40 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Progreso
Home
|
29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
L
|