Progreso
Match Timeline
Danubio
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Danubio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.87
Danubio1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Danubio
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
3 matches
Danubio
3 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 3 | Goals For | 2 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 6 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Danubio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 6, draws 7, Danubio wins 2
Lineups
Progreso
Formation
Danubio
N. Gentilio
G. Trasante
C. Ordonez
L. N. Olivera Moreira
A. Cougo
A. Colombino
A. Garcia
N. Fernandez
I. Lemmo
F. Lopez
M. Copelotti
M. Goicoechea
C. Mayada
M. Gonzalez
E. Velazquez
L. Sosa
S. Romero
J. Amaro
N. Pais
L. Sanseviero
V. Sanchez
Brandao
Progreso
4-2-2-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
N. Gentilio
G
16
G. Trasante
D
32
C. Ordonez
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
🟨 79'
40
A. Cougo
D
8
A. Colombino
M
↓ 90+1'
🟨 35'
7
A. Garcia
M
↓ 83'
29
N. Fernandez
M
↓ 83'
10
I. Lemmo
M
↓ 77'
19
F. Lopez
F
↓ 90+1'
🟨 28'
26
M. Copelotti
F
⚽ 68'
🟨 45+3'
Substitutes
35
F. Mendez
G
6
F. Kidd
D
13
H. Carroso
D
↑ 90+1'
5
A. Pinheiro
M
↑ 83'
24
M. De Los Santos
M
↑ 83'
30
A. Cuadro
M
11
P. Lopez
M
↑ 90+1'
14
N. Lopez
F
21
J. Rivero
M
17
F. Sosa
F
↑ 77'
Danubio
2-6-1
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Goicoechea
G
18
C. Mayada
D
23
M. Gonzalez
2
E. Velazquez
D
🟨 90+4'
6
L. Sosa
M
🟨 54'
19
S. Romero
M
↓ 88'
31
J. Amaro
M
↓ 59'
35
N. Pais
M
11
L. Sanseviero
M
33
V. Sanchez
M
↓ 59'
21
Brandao
F
🟨 15'
🟨 64'
🟥 64'
Substitutes
32
K. Martinez
G
4
M. Risso
D
3
M. Rinaldi
D
7
E. Femia
M
↑ 59'
17
A. Velazquez
M
10
M. Peralta
M
↑ 88'
38
E. Cardozo
M
30
S. Fernandez
F
↑ 59'
9
S. Nunez
F
↑ 88'
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Danubio
14.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
11.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
H2H: Progreso vs Danubio
30.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
15.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
W
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
W
31.03.19
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
3
2
L
22.07.18
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
29.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Albion FC
3
2
W
18.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Juventud
2
1
W
H2H at home: Progreso
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
L
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
W
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Danubio
14.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
17.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
2
0
W
18.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
H2H away: Danubio
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
W
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
L
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
L
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Danubio
Away
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 10 |
Progreso
Home
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs