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24.08.2025 13:30
Parque Abraham Paladino
Referee: Javier Feres, Uruguay
Progreso
Match Timeline
Danubio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Brandão
Danubio
🟨
28'
Franco López
Progreso
🟨
35'
Adrián Colombino
Progreso
🟨
45+3'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🟨
54'
Leandro Sosa
Danubio
🔄
59'
V. Sanchez ↔ E. Femia
Danubio
🔄
59'
J. Amaro ↔ S. Fernandez
Danubio
🟨
64'
Brandão
Danubio
🟥
64'
Brandão
Danubio
⚽
68'
M. Copelotti
Progreso
🔄
77'
I. Lemmo ↔ F. Sosa
Progreso
🟨
79'
Nicolás Olivera
Progreso
🔄
83'
A. Garcia ↔ A. Pinheiro
Progreso
🔄
83'
N. Fernandez ↔ M. De Los Santos
Progreso
🔄
88'
S. Romero ↔ M. Peralta
Danubio
🔄
88'
↔ S. Nunez
Danubio
🟨
90+4'
Emiliano Velázquez
Danubio
🔄
90+1'
A. Colombino ↔ H. Carroso
Progreso
🔄
90+1'
F. Lopez ↔ P. Lopez
Progreso

Progreso vs Danubio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Danubio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.87
Danubio1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso Progreso
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Danubio Danubio
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Progreso Progreso 3 matches
Danubio Danubio 3 matches
Progreso Statistic Danubio
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
3 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 1
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 7 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Danubio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 7, draws 6, Danubio wins 2

Standings

Primera Division 2025, Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 30:12 18 35
L D W W W
2 15 8 6 1 25:11 14 27
W D D D D
3 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
L W W L D
4 15 6 8 1 26:10 16 26
D D W D D
5 15 7 4 4 19:14 5 25
W W D D D
6 15 7 4 4 19:16 3 25
L L L W W
7 15 7 3 5 13:13 0 24
D D W W W
8 15 7 2 6 13:16 -3 23
D L L W L
9 15 6 3 6 18:13 5 21
W W L D D
10 15 5 3 7 17:23 -6 18
D L L L W
11 15 4 5 6 14:22 -8 17
W L D D D
12 15 4 4 7 8:13 -5 16
D W L D L
13 15 3 5 7 12:18 -6 14
W D W D W
14 15 3 4 8 17:26 -9 13
L D L L D
15 15 2 2 11 9:26 -17 8
L L W L L
16 15 1 4 10 7:25 -18 7
L D D L D
Playoffs