BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Primavera MG
Match Timeline
Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
69'
Felipe Clemente
Gama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
63.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Primavera MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gama Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Primavera MG0.6
Gama2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Primavera MG Primavera MG
WWDLW
2 GF / 4 GA
Gama Gama
WLDWL
4 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
0
2
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Primavera MG Primavera MG 2 matches
Gama Gama 2 matches
Primavera MG Statistic Gama
0 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
2 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 0
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0
2 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gama's more proactive style and Primavera MG's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gama. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Gama carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 6 points while Primavera MG sit 5 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gama having the stronger overall control.

Primavera MG Analysis

Placed 5 with 1 points from 2 outings, Primavera MG continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 2:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Giovanni (1 goals), Yury (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gama Analysis

Placed 1 with 6 points from 2 outings, Gama continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 4:0 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through David (1 goals), Felipe Clemente (1 goals), Ramon (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Primavera MG won 0 times, Gama won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:5 from Primavera MG's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: Primavera MG wins 0, draws 0, Gama wins 2
Last matches: Primavera MG
07.06.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Gama
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
1
D
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
H2H: Primavera MG vs Gama
23.05.26
H2H
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
L
Last matches: Primavera MG
07.06.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
3
L
H2H at home: Primavera MG
19.04.26
H2H
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
L
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
H2H away: Gama
19.04.26
H2H
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
W

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Away
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)