ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Deepdale
Referee: S. Martin
Preston
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Jordan Storey
Preston
12'
T. Harwood-Bellis · Assist: Welington
Southampton
🟨
34'
Andrew Moran
Preston
🔄
46'
D. Iversen ↔ D. Cornell
Preston
🔄
46'
J. Storey ↔ O. Offiah
Preston
47'
R. Stewart · Assist: C. Archer
Southampton
🔄
58'
A. Devine ↔ J. Thompson
Preston
🔄
58'
D. Jebbison ↔ M. Osmajic
Preston
60'
L. Dobbin · Assist: D. Cornell
Preston
🔄
68'
R. Stewart ↔ C. Larin
Southampton
🔄
68'
C. Bragg ↔ J. Bree
Southampton
🔄
69'
C. Archer ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
75'
A. Moran ↔ R. Brady
Preston
🔄
77'
Welington ↔ R. Manning
Southampton
🟨
81'
Finn Azaz
Southampton
🔄
84'
T. Fellows ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🟨
90+4'
Andrija Vukčević
Preston
90'
C. Larin · Assist: S. Edozie
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Preston Win 21.8%
Draw 5.3%
Southampton Win 73%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preston1.19
Southampton1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preston Preston
WWDLW
54 GF / 60 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
88 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
26
BTTS Yes
36
21
Over 2.5
32
3.52
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preston Preston 46 matches
Southampton Southampton 50 matches
Preston Statistic Southampton
15 Wins 25
15 Draws 14
16 Losses 11
54 Goals For 88
60 Goals Against 61
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
26 BTTS Yes 36
36 Over 1.5 43
21 Over 2.5 32
10 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 5
3.52 Shots On Goal 5.2
10.85 Total Shots 13.8
4.3 Corners 5.62
46.1% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Southampton's more proactive style and Preston's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preston expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Southampton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Southampton having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Southampton. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Preston Analysis

Preston are currently 12 in the standings with 60 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 15 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 54:59 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Dobbin (9 goals), A. Devine (8 goals), M. Osmajic (8 goals), with creative support from L. Dobbin (8 assists), A. Devine (6 assists), J. Thompson (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Southampton Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 77 points from 45 games, Southampton bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 21 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses, with a 79:55 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Armstrong (11 goals), F. Azaz (11 goals), R. Manning (8 goals), with creative support from L. Scienza (10 assists), F. Azaz (8 assists), R. Manning (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Preston won 1 times, Southampton won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Preston's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Preston 4-4-2 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Preston wins 1, draws 1, Southampton wins 3
Stats
Preston Preston
Southampton Southampton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
7
10 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 7
11 Shots insidebox 13
5 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
377 Total passes 478
310 Passes accurate 407
1.91 expected_goals 2.41
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Preston
Formation
Southampton
D. Iversen
D. Iversen
J. Storey
J. Storey
L. Lindsay
L. Lindsay
A. Hughes
A. Hughes
A. Vukcevic
A. Vukcevic
B. Potts
B. Potts
B. Whiteman
B. Whiteman
A. Devine
A. Devine
A. Moran
A. Moran
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
D. Jebbison
D. Jebbison
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
S. Charles
S. Charles
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
N. Wood
Welington
🎯
Welington
C. Bragg
C. Bragg
C. Jander
C. Jander
T. Fellows
T. Fellows
C. Archer
🎯
C. Archer
L. Scienza
L. Scienza
R. Stewart
R. Stewart
Preston 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
D. Iversen
↓ 46'
G
14
J. Storey
↓ 46' 🟨 10'
D
6
L. Lindsay
D
16
A. Hughes
D
3
A. Vukcevic
🟨 90+4'
D
44
B. Potts
M
4
B. Whiteman
M
21
A. Devine
↓ 58'
M
23
A. Moran
↓ 75' 🟨 34'
M
17
L. Dobbin
⚽ 60'
F
9
D. Jebbison
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
13
D. Cornell
🎯 60' ↑ 46'
G
11
R. Brady
↑ 75'
M
15
J. Thompson
↑ 58'
M
42
O. Offiah
↑ 46'
D
24
M. Smith
F
2
P. Valentin
D
28
M. Osmajic
↑ 58'
F
8
A. McCann
M
26
T. Small
D
Southampton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
D. Peretz
G
24
S. Charles
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
⚽ 12'
D
15
N. Wood
D
34
Welington
🎯 12' ↓ 77'
D
48
C. Bragg
↓ 68'
M
20
C. Jander
M
18
T. Fellows
↓ 84'
M
19
C. Archer
🎯 47' ↓ 69'
M
13
L. Scienza
M
11
R. Stewart
⚽ 47' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Long
G
28
O. Romeu
M
3
R. Manning
↑ 77'
D
9
C. Larin
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
F
10
F. Azaz
↑ 69' 🟨 81'
M
49
N. Oyekunle
F
14
J. Bree
↑ 68'
D
23
S. Edozie
🎯 90' ↑ 84'
M
17
J. Quarshie
D
Last matches: Preston
24.07.26
Fri
Preston
Cambridge United
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Preston
Sheffield Wednesday
2
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Preston
Bamber Bridge
4
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Preston
Sheffield Utd
3
2
W
22.04.26
Cha
Preston
Birmingham
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Preston
West Brom
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Preston
Charlton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Cha
Preston
QPR
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Preston
Leicester
2
2
D
20.03.26
Cha
Preston
Stoke City
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Preston
Norwich
0
2
L
11.03.26
Cha
Preston
Coventry
0
3
L
06.03.26
Cha
Preston
Oxford United
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Preston
Millwall
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Preston
Swansea
1
1
D
20.02.26
Cha
Preston
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cha
Preston
Watford
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Preston
Portsmouth
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Preston
Ipswich
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Preston
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
Last matches: Southampton
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H: Preston vs Southampton
02.05.26
H2H
Preston
Southampton
1
3
L
01.11.25
H2H
Southampton
Preston
0
2
W
16.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Preston
3
0
L
25.10.23
H2H
Preston
Southampton
2
2
D
21.09.11
H2H
Southampton
Preston
2
1
L
Last matches: Preston
24.07.26
Fri
Preston
Cambridge United
0
1
L
14.07.26
Fri
Preston
Bamber Bridge
4
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Preston
West Brom
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Preston
QPR
1
1
D
20.03.26
Cha
Preston
Stoke City
3
1
W
06.03.26
Cha
Preston
Oxford United
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Preston
Millwall
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Preston
Watford
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Preston
Portsmouth
1
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Preston
Hull City
0
3
L
17.01.26
Cha
Preston
Derby
0
1
L
09.01.26
FA
Preston
Wigan
0
1
L
01.01.26
Cha
Preston
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Preston
Norwich
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Preston
Coventry
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Preston
Wrexham
1
1
D
21.11.25
Cha
Preston
Blackburn
1
2
L
05.11.25
Cha
Preston
Swansea
2
1
W
24.10.25
Cha
Preston
Sheffield Utd
3
2
W
21.10.25
Cha
Preston
Birmingham
0
1
L
H2H at home: Preston
02.05.26
H2H
Preston
Southampton
1
3
L
25.10.23
H2H
Preston
Southampton
2
2
D
Last matches: Southampton
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
5
1
W
H2H away: Southampton
02.05.26
H2H
Preston
Southampton
1
3
W
25.10.23
H2H
Preston
Southampton
2
2
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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