BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
09.05.2026 18:45
Stadion Mokri Dolac
Referee: E. Topuzovic
Posušje
Match Timeline
Velež
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
L. Krekovic · Assist: I. Posavec
Posušje
🟨
34'
D. Halilovic
Velež
🔄
46'
A. Mesic ↔ A. Babic
Velež
🔄
46'
V. Djuric ↔ A. Milak
Velež
🟨
52'
A. Milak
Velež
58'
N. Stojanovic · Assist: A. Milak
Velež
🟨
60'
S. Duranovic
Velež
🔄
61'
D. Dogan ↔ A. Hrkac
Velež
🔄
61'
A. Omerovic ↔ A. Spahic
Velež
🔄
63'
I. Posavec ↔ A. Zivkovic
Posušje
🔄
70'
M. Sroler ↔ M. Domancic
Posušje
🔄
78'
N. Stojanovic ↔ I. Saric
Velež
🔄
85'
M. Lasic ↔ F. Milovic
Posušje
🟨
90+3'
F. Ribic
Velež

Posušje vs Velež Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Posušje Win 36.4%
Draw 19.1%
Velež Win 44.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Posušje0.77
Velež1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Posušje Posušje
WWDLW
24 GF / 37 GA
Velež Velež
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Posušje Posušje 32 matches
Velež Velež 32 matches
Posušje Statistic Velež
8 Wins 13
8 Draws 8
16 Losses 11
24 Goals For 29
37 Goals Against 26
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
9 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Velež's more proactive style and Posušje's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Velež. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Velež having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Posušje Analysis

So far, Posušje have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 32 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 24:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Mulato (5 goals), M. Cuic (5 goals), L. Krekovic (4 goals), with creative support from M. Domancic (3 assists), M. Cuic (2 assists), S. Radovic (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Velež Analysis

Placed 4 with 47 points from 32 outings, Velež continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 29:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Saric (6 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), A. Spahic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Posušje won 4 times, Velež won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Posušje's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
H2H summary: Posušje wins 4, draws 3, Velež wins 7

Standings

Premijer Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation