BRAZIL SERIE D
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Estadio do Caninde

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa Win 58.5%
Draw 6.9%
Portuguesa RJ Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa1.25
Portuguesa RJ1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WWDLW
14 GF / 6 GA
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WLDWL
14 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa Portuguesa 9 matches
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 9 matches
Portuguesa Statistic Portuguesa RJ
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
1 Losses 1
14 Goals For 14
6 Goals Against 7
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa RJ having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Portuguesa RJ. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 9 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 14:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Cadorini (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (5 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Placed 3 with 14 points from 9 outings, Portuguesa RJ continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (5 goals), Elicley (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa won 0 times, Portuguesa RJ won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Portuguesa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa wins 0, draws 1, Portuguesa RJ wins 0
Last matches: Portuguesa
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H: Portuguesa vs Portuguesa RJ
04.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Portuguesa
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
2
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D