BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio do Caninde
Portuguesa
Match Timeline
América RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Matheus Cadorini
Portuguesa
19'
Matheus Cadorini
Portuguesa
21'
J. Cesar
América RJ
63'
Igor Torres
Portuguesa
72'
Joao Diogo
Portuguesa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa Win 90.1%
Draw 0%
América RJ Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa1.54
América RJ0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WWDLW
8 GF / 4 GA
América RJ América RJ
WLDWL
7 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa Portuguesa 7 matches
América RJ América RJ 7 matches
Portuguesa Statistic América RJ
3 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 15
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Portuguesa's more proactive style and América RJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring América RJ. Portuguesa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to América RJ in 4 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward América RJ having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 12 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (3 goals), Matheus Cadorini (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

América RJ Analysis

Placed 4 with 8 points from 7 outings, América RJ continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nathan Palafoz (2 goals), Arthur Vignoli (1 goals), Capanema Werley (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa won 1 times, América RJ won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Portuguesa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa wins 1, draws 1, América RJ wins 0
Last matches: Portuguesa
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
Last matches: América RJ
27.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H: Portuguesa vs América RJ
23.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Portuguesa
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
2
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
H2H at home: Portuguesa
23.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
Last matches: América RJ
27.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H away: América RJ
23.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)