BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Portuguesa RJ
Match Timeline
América RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
64'
Lua Lucio
América RJ
67'
Elicley
Portuguesa RJ
86'
Matheus Iacovelli
Portuguesa RJ
90+2'
Joao Victor
América RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.42
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
1.42
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
2.07
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.67
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa RJ Win 76.8%
Draw 7.7%
América RJ Win 15.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa RJ1.85
América RJ0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
América RJ América RJ
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 8 matches
América RJ América RJ 8 matches
Portuguesa RJ Statistic América RJ
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
12 Goals For 8
5 Goals Against 19
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Portuguesa RJ's more proactive style and América RJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward América RJ. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Portuguesa RJ arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 12 points compared to América RJ in 4 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward América RJ having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Portuguesa RJ come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 12 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 11:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (3 goals), Anderson Rosa (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

América RJ Analysis

América RJ arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 8 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nathan Palafoz (2 goals), Arthur Vignoli (1 goals), Capanema Werley (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa RJ won 2 times, América RJ won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Portuguesa RJ's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa RJ wins 2, draws 2, América RJ wins 1
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: América RJ
23.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H: Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ
30.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
11.04.26
H2H
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
W
20.09.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
0
W
14.09.25
H2H
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L
04.01.20
H2H
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H at home: Portuguesa RJ
30.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
0
W
Last matches: América RJ
23.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H away: América RJ
30.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.30
Draw 3.80
Home 1.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.83
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 2.75 2.37
Over 3.0 2.94
Over 3.25 2.87
Under 1.5 2.95
Under 1.75 2.62
Under 2.0 2.29
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.25
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.20
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.50
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.10
Draw 3.58
Home 1.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.80
Draw 1.97
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.26
Draw 2.45
Home 1.77
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.21
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.61
Over 2.25 1.89
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.49
Over 3.0 3.14
Over 3.25 3.50
Over 3.5 3.92
Over 3.75 5.00
Over 4.0 7.20
Over 4.25 7.65
Over 4.5 8.10
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 7.40
Under 0.75 6.69
Under 1.0 6.00
Under 1.25 3.58
Under 1.5 2.74
Under 1.75 2.46
Under 2.0 2.07
Under 2.25 1.79
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 2.75 1.42
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 3.75 1.10
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 4.10
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.32
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 2.75
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 3.5 3.20
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.27

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D