WORLD WORLD CUP
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.9%
1.28
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 38.5%
Draw 12.1%
Spain Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.15
Spain1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
14 GF / 4 GA
Spain Spain
WLDWL
15 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
4
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 8 matches
Spain Spain 8 matches
Portugal Statistic Spain
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 0
14 Goals For 15
4 Goals Against 2
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 2
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.5
12 Total Shots 16.25
4.75 Corners 6.63
62.1% Ball Possession 58.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 0 times, Spain won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Portugal's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 0, draws 6, Spain wins 2
Last matches: Portugal
02.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Colombia
0
0
D
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
31.03.26
Fri
Portugal
USA
2
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Portugal
Mexico
0
0
D
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
0
2
L
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
3
2
W
06.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
5
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
04.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Germany
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
20.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
0
1
L
18.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
Last matches: Spain
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
18.11.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
3
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
H2H: Portugal vs Spain
08.06.25
H2H
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
27.09.22
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
02.06.22
H2H
Spain
Portugal
1
1
D
04.06.21
H2H
Spain
Portugal
0
0
D
07.10.20
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
05.06.20
H2H
Spain
Portugal
0
0
D
15.06.18
H2H
Portugal
Spain
3
3
D
27.06.12
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
29.06.10
H2H
Spain
Portugal
1
0
L
Last matches: Portugal
02.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Scotland
2
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
H2H at home: Portugal
08.06.25
H2H
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
27.09.22
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
07.10.20
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
15.06.18
H2H
Portugal
Spain
3
3
D
27.06.12
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
Last matches: Spain
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
4
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Spain
Serbia
0
0
D
H2H away: Spain
08.06.25
H2H
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
27.09.22
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
1
W
07.10.20
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
15.06.18
H2H
Portugal
Spain
3
3
D
27.06.12
H2H
Portugal
Spain
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 3.76
Home 4.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.49
Draw 2.37
Home 4.52
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.27
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.86
Over 3.75 3.43
Under 1.5 3.99
Under 1.75 3.87
Under 2.0 3.39
Under 2.25 2.56
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 2.75 1.93
Under 3.0 1.67
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 3.60
Home 4.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.30
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.60
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.97
Draw 3.86
Home 4.02
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.46
Draw 2.30
Home 4.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.70
Home 3.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 1.94
Over 3.0 2.14
Over 3.25 2.39
Over 3.5 2.64
Over 3.75 3.12
Over 4.0 4.05
Over 4.25 4.39
Over 4.5 4.70
Over 4.75 5.80
Over 5.0 7.90
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.90
Under 1.25 5.23
Under 1.5 3.88
Under 1.75 3.50
Under 2.0 3.10
Under 2.25 2.51
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 2.75 1.92
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 3.55
Home 4.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 2.23
Home 4.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.18
Draw 2.70
Home 3.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.0 1.37
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 2.75 2.02
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.80
Over 5.5 11.50
Under 0.5 11.50
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.79
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Group K
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
W D W W
2 3 1 2 0 6:1 5 5
W D W D
3 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W L D
4 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Round of 32