WORLD WORLD CUP
06.07.2026 19:00
AT&T Stadium
Referee: Anthony Taylor, England
Portugal
Match Timeline
Spain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
56'
N. Mendes ↔ N. Semedo
Portugal
🔄
71'
J. Cancelo ↔ D. Dalot
Portugal
🔄
71'
Joao Felix ↔ R. Leao
Portugal
🔄
75'
A. Baena ↔ F. Torres
Spain
🔄
83'
Vitinha ↔ B. Silva
Portugal
🔄
83'
P. Neto ↔ F. Conceicao
Portugal
🔄
85'
Pedri ↔ F. Ruiz
Spain
🔄
85'
D. Olmo ↔ M. Merino
Spain
🟨
89'
Bernardo Silva
Portugal
🟨
90+4'
Renato Veiga
Portugal
🟨
90+8'
Ferran Torres
Spain
🔄
90+7'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ B. Iglesias
Spain
90'
M. Merino · Assist: F. Torres
Spain

Portugal vs Spain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 38.5%
Draw 12.1%
Spain Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.15
Spain1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
14 GF / 4 GA
Spain Spain
WLDWL
15 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
4
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 8 matches
Spain Spain 8 matches
Portugal Statistic Spain
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 0
14 Goals For 15
4 Goals Against 2
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 2
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.5
12 Total Shots 16.25
4.75 Corners 6.63
62.1% Ball Possession 58.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 0 times, Spain won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Portugal's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 0, draws 6, Spain wins 3

Standings

Group K
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
L W D W W
2 3 1 2 0 6:1 5 5
L W D W D
3 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W L D
4 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Round of 32