Criciuma vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
28 matches
Avai
29 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 15 |
| 28 | Goals For | 30 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 3.21 |
| 13.21 | Total Shots | 11.14 |
| 6.43 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Criciuma's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Avai in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 47 points compared to Avai in 17 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Criciuma sit 5 with 47 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 28:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Avai sit 17 with 30 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats with a 29:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (4 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (5 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 8 times, Avai won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Criciuma's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Criciuma
Home
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Away
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|