BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Porto BA
Match Timeline
Real Noroeste
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Joao Bravo
Real Noroeste
45'
Cesinha
Porto BA
69'
Romulo
Real Noroeste

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Porto BA Win 100%
Draw 0%
Real Noroeste Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto BA1.36
Real Noroeste0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto BA Porto BA
WWDLW
6 GF / 9 GA
Real Noroeste Real Noroeste
WLDWL
2 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
2
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto BA Porto BA 5 matches
Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 5 matches
Porto BA Statistic Real Noroeste
3 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
6 Goals For 2
9 Goals Against 8
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Noroeste. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Porto BA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 9 points compared to Real Noroeste in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Noroeste arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Noroeste having the stronger overall control.

Porto BA Analysis

Porto BA approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 9 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 6:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Luan Rodrigues (2 goals), Cesinha (1 goals), Firmino (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Noroeste Analysis

Real Noroeste sit 6 with 1 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 2:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Porto BA won 1 times, Real Noroeste won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Porto BA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Porto BA wins 1, draws 0, Real Noroeste wins 1
Last matches: Porto BA
14.06.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Noroeste
14.06.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
1
L
H2H: Porto BA vs Real Noroeste
09.05.26
H2H
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
02.05.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
W
Last matches: Porto BA
30.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Tombense
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Porto BA
Vitória ES
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Democrata GV
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Porto BA
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
H2H at home: Porto BA
09.05.26
H2H
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Noroeste
30.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
1
L
H2H away: Real Noroeste
09.05.26
H2H
Porto BA
Real Noroeste
1
2
W

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)