Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
18 matches
San Jose Earthquakes
18 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 4 |
| 29 | Goals For | 37 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.15 | Shots On Goal | 5.57 |
| 11.92 | Total Shots | 14.43 |
| 4.31 | Corners | 7.43 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 47.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Portland Timbers sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Portland Timbers have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Kelsy (5 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), A. Lassiter (2 goals), with creative support from K. Kelsy (2 assists), C. Bassett (2 assists), D. Da Costa (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
San Jose Earthquakes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 29 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 31:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Judd (9 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), P. Marie (4 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Portland Timbers
7
6
6
0
2
1
Lineups
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Vancouver Whitecaps
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Columbus Crew
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Toronto FC
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St. Louis City
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Los Angeles FC
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Vancouver Whitecaps
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Philadelphia Union
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San Diego