🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Providence Park
Referee: E. Arreguin
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
C. Bassett
Portland Timbers
18'
J. Sanabria · Assist: M. Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🟥
34'
M. Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🟨
41'
D. Chara
Portland Timbers
🟨
55'
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
56'
F. Mora · Assist: A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
57'
A. Lassiter ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
58'
D. Yedlin ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
67'
F. Mora · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
F. Mora ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
D. Chara ↔ J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
L. Engel ↔ J. J. Arias
Real Salt Lake
🔄
74'
D. Luna ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
74'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
85'
J. Sanabria ↔ A. Katranis
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 41.2%
Draw 16.1%
Real Salt Lake Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.64
Real Salt Lake1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
37 GF / 40 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
37 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
14
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
4.69
Shots on Goal
5.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 19 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Real Salt Lake
6 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 5
37 Goals For 37
40 Goals Against 28
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
14 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
4.69 Shots On Goal 5.93
12.88 Total Shots 16.07
4.56 Corners 4.73
50.6% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Salt Lake carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Portland Timbers sit 11 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 11 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kevin Kelsy (7 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (5 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), Kevin Kelsy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 26 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 26:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Real Salt Lake won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:18 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 7, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 4
Stats
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
0
13 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 2
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 0
17 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
518 Total passes 338
457 Passes accurate 264
2.58 expected_goals 0.15
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Portland Timbers
Formation
Real Salt Lake
James Pantemis
James Pantemis
Brandon Bye
Brandon Bye
Finn Surman
Finn Surman
Kamal Miller
Kamal Miller
Jímer Fory
Jímer Fory
Diego Chará
Diego Chará
Ariel Lassiter
🎯
Ariel Lassiter
Cole Bassett
Cole Bassett
David Pereira Da Costa
David Pereira Da Costa
Kristoffer Velde
🎯
Kristoffer Velde
Felipe Mora
⚽ 2
Felipe Mora
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin
DeAndre Yedlin
Philip Quinton
Philip Quinton
Lukas Engel
Lukas Engel
Zavier Gozo
Zavier Gozo
Stijn Spierings
Stijn Spierings
Noel Caliskan
Noel Caliskan
Juan Sanabria
Juan Sanabria
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
Sergi Solans
Sergi Solans
Morgan Guilavogui
🎯
Morgan Guilavogui
Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
41
James Pantemis
G
5
Brandon Bye
D
20
Finn Surman
D
4
Kamal Miller
D
27
Jímer Fory
D
21
Diego Chará
↓ 72' 🟨 41'
M
7
Ariel Lassiter
🎯 56' ↓ 57'
M
17
Cole Bassett
↓ 86' 🟨 10'
M
10
David Pereira Da Costa
M
99
Kristoffer Velde
🎯 67'
M
9
Felipe Mora
⚽ 56' ⚽ 67' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
11
Antony Alves
↑ 57'
F
30
José Caicedo
↑ 72'
M
28
Alexander Aravena
↑ 72'
F
80
Joao Ortíz
↑ 86'
M
25
Trey Muse
G
23
Ian Smith
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
15
Eric Miller
D
53
Sawyer Jura
D
Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
2
DeAndre Yedlin
↓ 58'
D
26
Philip Quinton
D
4
Lukas Engel
↓ 74'
D
72
Zavier Gozo
M
6
Stijn Spierings
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
8
Juan Sanabria
⚽ 18' ↓ 85'
M
10
Diego Luna
↓ 74'
F
22
Sergi Solans
↓ 74' 🟨 55'
F
9
Morgan Guilavogui
🎯 18' 🟥 34'
F
Substitutes
29
Sam Junqua
↑ 58'
D
21
Juan Jose Arias
↑ 74'
D
12
Saba Lobzhanidze
↑ 74'
M
17
Victor Olatunji
↑ 74'
F
98
Alexandros Katranis
↑ 85'
D
31
Mason Stajduhar
G
23
Zach Booth
M
27
Griffin Dillon
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
Last matches: Portland Timbers
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
17.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
5
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
11.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H: Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
26.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
02.05.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
L
23.10.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
17.07.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
15.05.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
22.09.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
3
3
D
14.07.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
0
W
31.08.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
18.05.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
11.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
4
L
09.10.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
3
1
L
24.04.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
04.11.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
3
W
26.09.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
6
1
W
Last matches: Portland Timbers
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
H2H at home: Portland Timbers
26.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
23.10.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
17.07.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
14.07.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
0
W
31.08.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
11.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
4
L
24.04.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
26.09.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
6
1
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Real Salt Lake
26.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L
23.10.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
1
L
17.07.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
1
W
14.07.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
0
L
31.08.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L
11.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
3
4
W
24.04.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
0
L
26.09.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
6
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 4 3 38:17 21 34
D D L W L
2 19 10 4 5 35:19 16 34
D W W W W
3 18 10 3 5 37:24 13 33
L D L W L
4 17 9 2 6 25:24 1 29
W W D D W
5 17 8 3 6 29:25 4 27
D L L D W
6 18 7 6 5 32:25 7 27
D L D W W
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
D W W W W
8 18 7 3 8 33:33 0 24
W W D W L
9 17 7 3 7 20:22 -2 24
L L L L L
10 18 6 6 6 20:25 -5 24
D D L D L
11 18 7 1 10 27:25 2 22
W L W L L
12 19 5 7 7 24:29 -5 22
D D L L D
13 18 5 6 7 32:29 3 21
D W L L D
14 18 4 5 9 22:36 -14 17
L L W L L
15 18 4 2 12 18:46 -28 14
L L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)