🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
26.07.2026 02:30
Providence Park
Referee: E. Arreguin
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Cole Bassett
Portland Timbers
18'
J. Sanabria · Assist: M. Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
VAR
33'
Morgan Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🟥
34'
Morgan Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🟨
41'
Diego Chará
Portland Timbers
🟨
55'
Sergi Solans
Real Salt Lake
56'
F. Mora · Assist: A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
57'
A. Lassiter ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
58'
D. Yedlin ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
67'
F. Mora · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
F. Mora ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
D. Chara ↔ J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
D. Luna ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
74'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
74'
L. Engel ↔ J. J. Arias
Real Salt Lake
🔄
85'
J. Sanabria ↔ A. Katranis
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 41.2%
Draw 16.1%
Real Salt Lake Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.64
Real Salt Lake1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
37 GF / 40 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
37 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
14
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
4.69
Shots on Goal
5.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 19 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Real Salt Lake
6 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 5
37 Goals For 37
40 Goals Against 28
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
14 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
4.69 Shots On Goal 5.93
12.88 Total Shots 16.07
4.56 Corners 4.73
50.6% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Salt Lake carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Portland Timbers sit 11 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 11 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kevin Kelsy (7 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (5 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), Kevin Kelsy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 26 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 26:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Real Salt Lake won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:18 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 7, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)