Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
21 matches
Real Salt Lake
19 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 10 | Losses | 5 |
| 37 | Goals For | 37 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.95 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.69 | Shots On Goal | 5.93 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 16.07 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Salt Lake carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Portland Timbers sit 11 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Portland Timbers sit 11 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kevin Kelsy (7 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (5 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), Kevin Kelsy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Real Salt Lake approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 26 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 26:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Real Salt Lake won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:18 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Real Salt Lake
Away
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|