🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Providence Park
Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
F. Torres · Assist: J. Rosales
Austin
🟨
35'
Guilherme Biro
Austin
🟨
47'
M. Desler
Austin
🔄
63'
G. Guerra ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
J. Gallagher ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
63'
J. Alastuey ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
71'
M. Desler ↔ B. Hines-Ike
Austin
🔄
75'
J. Fory ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
75'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
E. Miller ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
F. Torres ↔ I. Sanchez
Austin
🔄
83'
J. Bell ↔ O. Svatok
Austin
🟨
88'
J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🟨
88'
O. Svatok
Austin
89'
Antony
Portland Timbers
90+3'
Austin
Austin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
1.58
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 82%
Draw 6.1%
Austin Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.73
Austin1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
46 GF / 46 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
33 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
19
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
17
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 26 matches
Austin Austin 29 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Austin
9 Wins 7
6 Draws 8
11 Losses 14
46 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 48
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
19 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 10
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.1
12.95 Total Shots 10.5
4.48 Corners 4.35
50.3% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Portland Timbers's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Austin. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Austin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Austin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 37:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Kristoffer Velde (3 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (5 assists), Brandon Bye (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Austin Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Austin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 25:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 6 times, Austin won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / Austin 3-4-3
Missing players: Portland Timbers 7, Austin 0
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 6, draws 2, Austin wins 3
Stats
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
Austin Austin
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
452 Total passes 486
385 Passes accurate 409
1.46 expected_goals 0.50
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Portland Timbers
Formation
Austin
James Pantemis
James Pantemis
Eric Miller
Eric Miller
Finn Surman
Finn Surman
Kamal Miller
Kamal Miller
Jímer Fory
Jímer Fory
Cole Bassett
Cole Bassett
José Caicedo
José Caicedo
David Pereira Da Costa
David Pereira Da Costa
Ariel Lassiter
Ariel Lassiter
Gage Guerra
Gage Guerra
Kristoffer Velde
Kristoffer Velde
Brad Stuver
Brad Stuver
Mikkel Desler
Mikkel Desler
Jonathan Bell
Jonathan Bell
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
Joseph Rosales
🎯
Joseph Rosales
Ervin Torres
Ervin Torres
Besard Sabović
Besard Sabović
Jon Gallagher
Jon Gallagher
Facundo Torres
Facundo Torres
Jorge Alastuey
Jorge Alastuey
Brandon Vázquez
Brandon Vázquez
Portland Timbers 4-3-3
Starting XI
41
James Pantemis
G
15
Eric Miller
↓ 83'
D
20
Finn Surman
D
4
Kamal Miller
D
27
Jímer Fory
↓ 75'
D
17
Cole Bassett
↓ 75'
M
30
José Caicedo
🟨 88'
M
10
David Pereira Da Costa
M
7
Ariel Lassiter
F
88
Gage Guerra
↓ 63'
F
99
Kristoffer Velde
F
Substitutes
11
Antony Alves
⚽ 89' ↑ 63'
F
26
Hunter Sulte
G
18
Zac McGraw
D
23
Ian Smith
↑ 75'
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
73
Eric Izoita
M
80
Joao Ortíz
↑ 75'
M
22
Omir Fernandez
↑ 83'
F
Austin 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Brad Stuver
G
3
Mikkel Desler
↓ 71' 🟨 47'
D
15
Jonathan Bell
↓ 83'
D
29
Guilherme Biro
🟨 35'
D
30
Joseph Rosales
🎯 25'
M
38
Ervin Torres
M
14
Besard Sabović
M
17
Jon Gallagher
↓ 63'
M
11
Facundo Torres
⚽ 25' ↓ 83'
F
24
Jorge Alastuey
↓ 63'
F
9
Brandon Vázquez
F
Substitutes
23
Žan Kolmanič
↑ 63'
D
77
Przemysław Płacheta
↑ 63'
M
12
Damian Las
G
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
↑ 71'
D
5
Oleksandr Svatok
↑ 83' 🟨 88'
D
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
6
Ilie Sánchez
↑ 83'
M
21
Christian Ramirez
F
32
Micah Burton
M
Last matches: Portland Timbers
23.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
20.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
3
1
W
16.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
26.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
17.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
5
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
Last matches: Austin
23.08.26
Maj
Austin
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
17.08.26
Maj
Austin
FC Dallas
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
26.07.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
23.07.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
H2H: Portland Timbers vs Austin
05.04.25
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
02.03.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
W
03.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
0
1
L
30.05.24
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
0
2
W
18.09.23
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
1
2
W
07.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
2
2
D
01.09.22
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
1
2
W
13.03.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
3
0
W
22.08.21
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
3
1
L
02.07.21
H2H
Austin
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
Last matches: Portland Timbers
20.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
3
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
26.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
H2H at home: Portland Timbers
02.03.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
W
03.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
0
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
2
2
D
13.03.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
3
0
W
Last matches: Austin
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
26.07.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Austin
02.03.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
L
03.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
0
1
W
07.05.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
2
2
D
13.03.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
1
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
Austin
3
0
L
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.21
Draw 4.72
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.29
Draw 2.71
Home 2.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.74
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.22
Over 3.75 2.54
Over 4.5 3.70
Over 5.5 7.00
Under 1.5 5.91
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 2.75 2.47
Under 3.0 2.18
Under 3.25 1.90
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.56
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 4.33
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.62
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 4.40
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.55
Home 1.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 3.10
Home 1.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 3.0 1.66
Over 3.25 1.88
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.90
Over 4.5 3.55
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 11.50
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.0 2.15
Under 3.25 1.87
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.54
Under 4.0 1.38
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.02

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 45:18 27 40
W L W D D
2 21 12 2 7 30:26 4 38
L W W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 21 10 3 8 39:33 6 33
L L L L D
5 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
L W W D L
6 21 9 6 6 30:27 3 33
W D W D W
7 21 9 1 11 30:28 2 28
L W W W L
8 20 8 4 8 34:32 2 28
L L D D L
9 21 8 4 9 38:37 1 28
D W L W W
10 21 7 7 7 27:29 -2 28
W L D D D
11 21 7 6 8 37:32 5 27
W L W D W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 22 6 8 8 27:32 -5 26
D W L D D
14 21 5 6 10 26:40 -14 21
D W L L L
15 21 4 3 14 20:51 -31 15
L D L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Portland Timbers 7 missing
-
V. Janssen
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
T. Muse
Missing Fixture Wrist Injury
OUT
-
A. Bonetig
Questionable Upper Back Injury
OUT
-
B. Bye
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
J. Mosquera
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
D. Chara
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
A. Aravena
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
Austin 0 missing
No missing players data