🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
30.08.2026 02:30
Providence Park
Referee: G. Gonzales
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
F. Torres · Assist: J. Rosales
Austin
🟨
35'
Guilherme Biro
Austin
🟨
47'
Mikkel Desler
Austin
🔄
63'
G. Guerra ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
J. Alastuey ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
63'
J. Gallagher ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
71'
M. Desler ↔ B. Hines-Ike
Austin
🔄
75'
J. Fory ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
75'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
E. Miller ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
J. Bell ↔ O. Svatok
Austin
🔄
83'
F. Torres ↔ I. Sanchez
Austin
VAR
86'
Antony Alves
Portland Timbers
🟨
88'
José Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🟨
88'
Oleksandr Svatok
Austin
89'
Antony
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+7'
Joseph Rosales
Austin
90'
O. Svatok
Austin

Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
1.58
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 82%
Draw 6.1%
Austin Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.73
Austin1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
46 GF / 46 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
33 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
19
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
17
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 26 matches
Austin Austin 29 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Austin
9 Wins 7
6 Draws 8
11 Losses 14
46 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 48
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
19 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 10
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.19
12.95 Total Shots 10.57
4.52 Corners 4.43
50.3% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Portland Timbers's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Austin. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Austin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Austin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 37:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Kristoffer Velde (3 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (5 assists), Brandon Bye (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Austin Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Austin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 25:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 6 times, Austin won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / Austin 3-4-3
Missing players: Portland Timbers 7, Austin 0
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 6, draws 2, Austin wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)