Port Vale
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Port Vale Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Port Vale1.08
Luton1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Port Vale
WWDLW
32 GF / 44 GA
Luton
WLDWL
48 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
18
3.24
Shots on Goal
3.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Port Vale
34 matches
Luton
35 matches
| Port Vale | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 17 | Losses | 13 |
| 32 | Goals For | 48 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.24 | Shots On Goal | 3.63 |
| 11.62 | Total Shots | 11.66 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 5.66 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale won 1 times, Luton won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Port Vale's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Port Vale 4-3-3 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Port Vale wins 1, draws 2, Luton wins 1
Stats
Port Vale
Luton
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Port Vale
Formation
Luton
J. Gauci
Kyle John
C. Humphreys
C. Hall
L. Gordon
F. Ojo
R. Walters
G. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
B. Waine
J. Stockley
J. Keeley
I. Jones
N. Lonwijk
K. Naismith
J. Johnson
G. Saville
L. Walsh
J. Richards
J. Clark
E. Lawrence
N. Wells
Port Vale
4-3-3
Starting XI
46
J. Gauci
G
24
Kyle John
D
25
C. Humphreys
D
🟨 25'
5
C. Hall
D
15
L. Gordon
D
14
F. Ojo
M
12
R. Walters
M
↓ 77'
33
G. Hall
M
🎯 29'
↓ 78'
🟨 6'
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
F
19
B. Waine
F
⚽ 29'
🟨 87'
9
J. Stockley
F
↓ 66'
Substitutes
13
B. Amos
G
28
G. Ward
M
21
M. Sherif
↑ 78'
45
A. Gray
F
↑ 66'
35
T. Magloire
D
26
J. Shipley
M
↑ 77'
3
J. Headley
D
Luton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
25
I. Jones
D
↓ 80'
17
N. Lonwijk
D
↓ 81'
3
K. Naismith
D
🟨 43'
38
J. Johnson
D
🟨 22'
23
G. Saville
M
8
L. Walsh
M
↓ 71'
27
J. Richards
M
↓ 61'
18
J. Clark
M
🟨 40'
32
E. Lawrence
M
🎯 5'
21
N. Wells
F
⚽ 5'
↓ 61'
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
16
H. Odoffin
D
↑ 81'
14
S. Morris
F
↑ 80'
54
K. Palmer
M
↑ 61'
6
D. van den Berg
M
↑ 71'
12
A. Al Hamadi
F
↑ 61'
44
H. Fox
M
Last matches: Port Vale
01.08.26
Fri
Port Vale
Blackpool
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Real Murcia
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Wigan
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Tamworth
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stockport County
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Cardiff
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
0
D
16.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Barnsley
0
0
D
07.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Rotherham
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Port Vale
Chelsea
0
7
L
28.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wycombe
0
4
L
24.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Doncaster
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
0
D
11.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
2
L
08.03.26
FA
Port Vale
Sunderland
1
0
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
H2H: Port Vale vs Luton
28.02.26
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
30.12.17
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
4
0
W
12.09.17
H2H
Luton
Port Vale
2
0
L
Last matches: Port Vale
25.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Real Murcia
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Tamworth
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
0
D
14.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Barnsley
0
0
D
07.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Rotherham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
0
D
11.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
2
L
08.03.26
FA
Port Vale
Sunderland
1
0
W
03.03.26
FA
Port Vale
Bristol City
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Reading
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Burton Albion
2
2
D
03.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Exeter City
1
3
L
09.01.26
FA
Port Vale
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
5
1
W
20.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
0
1
L
06.12.25
FA
Port Vale
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Port Vale
Plymouth
0
1
L
H2H at home: Port Vale
28.02.26
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
1
1
D
30.12.17
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
4
0
W
Last matches: Luton
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
L
H2H away: Luton
28.02.26
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
1
1
D
30.12.17
H2H
Port Vale
Luton
4
0
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Home
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two