20.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 72.3%
Draw 19%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano1.71
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
45 GF / 38 GA
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WLDWL
35 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
17
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
15
5.64
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 26 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26 matches
Cienciano Statistic Club Deportivo Los Chankas
12 Wins 12
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
45 Goals For 35
38 Goals Against 44
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
17 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
5.64 Shots On Goal 4.58
15.76 Total Shots 12.85
5.24 Corners 4.19
51.8% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Cienciano's more proactive style and Club Deportivo Los Chankas's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Deportivo Los Chankas. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas having the stronger overall control.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano sit 7 with 40 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 44:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Garcés (5 goals), Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), M. Succar (3 goals), with creative support from C. Garcés (2 assists), Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), C. Souza (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 41 points from 26 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 35:44, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Quintero (5 goals), F. Torres (3 goals), O. Takeuchi (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (3 assists), A. Quintana (3 assists), J. Quintero (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 9 times, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:9 from Cienciano's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 4-2-3-1 / Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 9, draws 3, Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2