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29.10.2026 19:00

Popayan vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.92
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.4%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
56.4%
1.92 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
64%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
7.17 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 23.6%
Draw 27.5%
Union Magdalena Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan1.08
Union Magdalena1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
W L L L D
3 GF / 7 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
W W D D D
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
18
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 30 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 37 matches
Popayan Statistic Union Magdalena
8 Wins 17
10 Draws 11
12 Losses 9
35 Goals For 51
40 Goals Against 35
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
18 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Union Magdalena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 61 points while Popayan sit 12 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Magdalena. Popayan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Popayan Analysis

With 34 points from 30 games and a place of 12, Popayan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 35:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 61 points after 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 50:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Popayan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.4%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 1, draws 2, Union Magdalena wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)