Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
19 matches
Athletic Club
19 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 18 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.37 | Shots On Goal | 3.21 |
| 10.79 | Total Shots | 11.53 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.47 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Athletic Club carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 24 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Athletic Club.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 18 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 12:35, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Elvis (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Athletic Club sit 12 with 24 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Lucas Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (1 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 0 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
6
4
7
4
1
4
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Ceara
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Avai
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Goias
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Juventude
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Ceara
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|