Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.4%
|
- |
Police
URA
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Police
23 matches
URA
23 matches
| Police | Statistic | URA |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 19 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Police's more proactive style and URA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors URA. Police arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 38 points compared to URA in 11 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Police have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward URA having the stronger overall control.
With 38 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Police still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 32:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Ikamba (7 goals), L. Tezikya (4 goals), U. Kasumba (4 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
So far, URA have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 23 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Living (5 goals), F. Amaku (3 goals), M. Aliro (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Police won 4 times, URA won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Police's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Police
Kitara
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
UPDF
Police
Maroons
Police
Mbarara City
Police
Express
Police
NEC
Police
SC Villa
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
Lugazi
Police
URA
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
URA
Buhimba Saints
URA
KCCA
URA
Calvary
URA
Vipers
URA
Maroons
URA
UPDF
URA
BUL
URA
NEC
URA
Express
URA
Lugazi
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Mbarara City
URA
Kitara
URA
SC Villa
URA
Police
URA
Calvary
URA
Vipers
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Mbarara City
URA
SC Villa
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
Vipers
Police
UPDF
Police
NEC
Police
SC Villa
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
Police
Calvary
Police
KCCA
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
Kitara
Police
Maroons
Police
Express
Police
Mbarara City
URA
Buhimba Saints
URA
Vipers
URA
UPDF
URA
NEC
URA
Express
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Kitara
URA
Calvary
URA
Mbarara City
URA
SC Villa
URA
KCCA
URA
Maroons
URA
Lugazi
URA
BUL
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Police
Home
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
URA
Away
|
30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|