Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.8%
|
- |
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pogon Szczecin
28 matches
Lech Poznan
44 matches
| Pogon Szczecin | Statistic | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 21 |
| 4 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 38 | Goals For | 80 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 19 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 5.32 |
| 15.36 | Total Shots | 14.86 |
| 5.39 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Pogon Szczecin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Lech Poznan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Pogon Szczecin sit 13 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lech Poznan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lech Poznan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Pogon Szczecin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 37 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Paul Mukairu (7 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lech Poznan come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 46 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 49:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ishak (13 goals), Luis Palma (6 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (5 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), F. Jagiello (4 assists), M. Ishak (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 4 times, Lech Poznan won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Pogon Szczecin's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Pogon Szczecin
3
11
2
8
1
3
Lineups
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
FK Jablonec
Pogon Szczecin
Turan
Pogon Szczecin
Świt Skolwin
Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
Turan
Pogon Szczecin
Świt Skolwin
Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Sigma Olomouc
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
Away
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Pogon Szczecin
Home
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|