CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
13.09.2026 13:00
Doosan Arena

Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44%
1.62
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
1.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Plzen Win 44%
Draw 15.5%
Sigma Olomouc Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plzen1.77
Sigma Olomouc1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plzen Plzen
WWDLW
37 GF / 28 GA
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
WLDWL
33 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.31
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
12
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
5.33
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plzen Plzen 16 matches
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 19 matches
Plzen Statistic Sigma Olomouc
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
37 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 18
2.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
5.33 Shots On Goal 4.86
10.33 Total Shots 11.43
3.78 Corners 4.43
54.3% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sigma Olomouc. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sigma Olomouc look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Plzen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sigma Olomouc in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sigma Olomouc having the stronger overall control.

Plzen Analysis

So far, Plzen have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kabongo (2 goals), A. Memić (1 goals), C. Souaré (1 goals), with creative support from A. Memić (2 assists), C. Souaré (2 assists), P. Hrošovský (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sigma Olomouc Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 7 games, Sigma Olomouc bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 13:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on P. Baráth (2 goals), A. Ghali (2 goals), V. Sejk (2 goals), with creative support from D. Janošek (3 assists), P. Baráth (1 assists), A. Ghali (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Plzen won 9 times, Sigma Olomouc won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Plzen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Plzen 4-2-3-1 / Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
H2H summary: Plzen wins 9, draws 4, Sigma Olomouc wins 2

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 21:5 16 17
W W D D W
2 7 5 1 1 10:4 6 16
W W W D W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
W W D W D
4 7 4 1 2 13:8 5 13
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
W L D L W
6 7 4 1 2 15:13 2 13
W W L L D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 6:6 0 11
D W L L W
9
Plzen Home
7 2 4 1 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
10 7 3 0 4 13:12 1 9
L L W W L
11 7 3 0 4 4:13 -9 9
L L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D W D
13 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
L W L L L
14 7 0 3 4 5:12 -7 3
D D L L L
15 7 0 2 5 5:12 -7 2
D L L D L
16 7 0 0 7 6:16 -10 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs