URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Plaza Colonia Win 71%
Draw 6.8%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plaza Colonia1.31
Uruguay Montevideo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WWDLW
30 GF / 18 GA
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WLDWL
23 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.05
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
9
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 22 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 22 matches
Plaza Colonia Statistic Uruguay Montevideo
10 Wins 6
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
30 Goals For 23
18 Goals Against 27
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
9 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Uruguay Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uruguay Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Plaza Colonia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo sit 6 with 9 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia won 1 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Plaza Colonia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Plaza Colonia wins 1, draws 0, Uruguay Montevideo wins 3

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D