URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Plaza Colonia Win 32.9%
Draw 20%
Miramar Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plaza Colonia1.19
Miramar0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WWDLW
19 GF / 13 GA
Miramar Miramar
WLDWL
17 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 16 matches
Miramar Miramar 16 matches
Plaza Colonia Statistic Miramar
7 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 17
13 Goals Against 19
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
6 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Miramar's more proactive style and Plaza Colonia's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Miramar having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Miramar. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Plaza Colonia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

With 13 points from 10 games and a place of 10, Plaza Colonia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 10:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Miramar Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Miramar have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia won 5 times, Miramar won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Plaza Colonia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
H2H summary: Plaza Colonia wins 5, draws 2, Miramar wins 6
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
20.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
Last matches: Miramar
12.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
L
06.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Boston River
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
H2H: Plaza Colonia vs Miramar
22.03.26
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
W
03.08.25
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
02.02.25
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
01.09.18
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
1
L
07.04.18
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
2
D
21.03.15
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
1
W
27.09.14
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
06.07.13
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
0
L
03.07.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
1
W
04.05.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
0
W
24.11.12
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
1
0
L
14.04.12
H2H
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
1
L
12.11.11
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
0
1
L
28.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
1
1
D
14.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Atletico Torque
2
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
0
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
10.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
1
0
W
19.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
05.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
0
2
L
25.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
2
0
W
H2H at home: Plaza Colonia
03.08.25
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
07.04.18
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
2
D
21.03.15
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
1
W
03.07.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
1
W
04.05.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
0
W
12.11.11
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
Last matches: Miramar
12.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
03.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Atletico Torque
0
3
L
21.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Cerro
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Progreso
2
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Danubio
3
2
W
16.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Juventud
1
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
1
W
03.12.23
Seg
Miramar
Albion FC
2
0
W
26.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Juventud
1
0
W
15.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
04.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
6
1
W
H2H away: Miramar
03.08.25
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
W
07.04.18
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
2
D
21.03.15
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
1
L
03.07.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
1
L
04.05.13
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
0
L
12.11.11
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
W

Standings

Segunda Division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:11 7 19
L D W W W
2 10 5 3 2 15:13 2 18
W D W L L
3 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
W W D L W
4 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
W W D W D
5 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W L W W L
6 10 4 2 4 8:10 -2 14
L D L W L
7 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
L W L D D
8 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
L D W L W
9 10 3 4 3 8:8 0 13
W L D W L
10 10 4 1 5 10:11 -1 13
L W L L W
11 10 2 6 2 15:13 2 12
D L D D W
12 10 3 3 4 8:12 -4 12
L L L W W
13 10 3 1 6 12:15 -3 10
W W L L L
14 10 2 2 6 10:15 -5 8
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)