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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
18.10.2026 12:00
LF Arena

Piteå vs Sollentuna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds 2.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
2.46 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.77 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Piteå Win 73.6%
Draw 8%
Sollentuna Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piteå1.4
Sollentuna1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piteå Piteå
WWDLW
45 GF / 59 GA
Sollentuna Sollentuna
WLDWL
45 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
21
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piteå Piteå 33 matches
Sollentuna Sollentuna 37 matches
Piteå Statistic Sollentuna
9 Wins 9
9 Draws 13
15 Losses 15
45 Goals For 45
59 Goals Against 54
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
21 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 28
19 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sollentuna having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sollentuna. Sollentuna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 14 with 22 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 30:46 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sollentuna Analysis

With 27 points from 26 games and a place of 13, Sollentuna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 27:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Piteå won 3 times, Sollentuna won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Piteå's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Piteå wins 3, draws 3, Sollentuna wins 3

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 3 4 63:21 42 60
W W W W W
2 26 14 6 6 46:31 15 48
L W W W W
3 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
4 26 14 5 7 48:37 11 47
L D W L W
5 26 13 6 7 51:26 25 45
L L W L D
6 26 12 8 6 40:25 15 44
W D D D D
7 26 12 7 7 41:36 5 43
L D W D D
8 26 10 5 11 44:45 -1 35
W L L W L
9 26 10 5 11 36:42 -6 35
W W L W W
10 26 9 6 11 36:44 -8 33
D W D L L
11 26 9 4 13 32:46 -14 31
D L L W L
12 26 7 7 12 39:55 -16 28
D L W L D
13 26 6 9 11 27:36 -9 27
W L L D L
14 26 5 8 13 33:49 -16 23
D D W W L
15 26 5 4 17 34:57 -23 19
L D L L W
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L