SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
06.09.2026 13:00
LF Arena
Piteå
Match Timeline
Karlberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
F. Johansson
Piteå
🔄
46'
H. Bergstrom ↔ C. Berglund
Piteå
47'
Q. Hoeve
Piteå
🟨
63'
M. Lalic
Karlberg
🔄
63'
A. Jamshidi ↔ A. Jemal
Karlberg
🔄
63'
M. Jansson ↔ L. Sietsema
Karlberg
🔄
67'
A. Muyenga ↔ J. Lundback
Piteå
🔄
67'
H. Naslund ↔ B. Brooks
Piteå
🔄
67'
S. Jamehdar ↔ K. Sulaiman
Piteå
71'
B. Brooks
Piteå
🔄
75'
M. Lalic ↔ V. Steen
Karlberg
🔄
75'
A. Fati ↔ F. Nilsson
Karlberg
🔄
86'
J. Johnson ↔ T. Oostra
Piteå
🟨
87'
F. Hogberg
Karlberg

Piteå vs Karlberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.7%
2.07
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.27
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Piteå Win 16.6%
Draw 4.7%
Karlberg Win 78.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piteå1.36
Karlberg1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piteå Piteå
WWDLW
33 GF / 50 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
56 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
17
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piteå Piteå 26 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 30 matches
Piteå Statistic Karlberg
6 Wins 14
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 11
33 Goals For 56
50 Goals Against 45
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
17 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Karlberg. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Karlberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 24 points while Piteå sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 15 with 12 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 18:36 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karlberg Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Karlberg have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Piteå won 0 times, Karlberg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Piteå's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Piteå wins 0, draws 1, Karlberg wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L