SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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LF Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Piteå Win 16.6%
Draw 4.7%
Karlberg Win 78.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piteå1.34
Karlberg1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piteå Piteå
WWDLW
30 GF / 46 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
56 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
16
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piteå Piteå 25 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 29 matches
Piteå Statistic Karlberg
6 Wins 14
7 Draws 4
12 Losses 11
30 Goals For 56
46 Goals Against 45
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
16 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Karlberg. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Karlberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 24 points while Piteå sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 15 with 12 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 18:36 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karlberg Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Karlberg have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Piteå won 0 times, Karlberg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Piteå's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Piteå wins 0, draws 1, Karlberg wins 2
Last matches: Piteå
23.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
16.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Arlanda
0
0
D
01.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Gefle IF
0
2
L
24.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Karlberg
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ett
Piteå
AFC Eskilstuna
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
2
L
07.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Enköping
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Sollentuna
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stocksund
3
2
W
14.05.26
Ett
Piteå
FBK Karlstad
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Arlanda
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Järfälla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Hammarby Talang
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ett
Piteå
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Stocksund
2
1
W
Last matches: Karlberg
23.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
0
3
L
15.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
07.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
2
L
01.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
2
1
W
24.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
H2H: Piteå vs Karlberg
24.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Piteå
Karlberg
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
1
0
L
Last matches: Piteå
16.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ett
Piteå
Gefle IF
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ett
Piteå
AFC Eskilstuna
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Enköping
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
14.05.26
Ett
Piteå
FBK Karlstad
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Arlanda
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Hammarby Talang
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Umeå
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Luleå
4
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Skellefteå
2
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Rops
1
1
D
H2H at home: Piteå
01.09.24
H2H
Piteå
Karlberg
1
1
D
Last matches: Karlberg
07.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
2
L
01.08.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
H2H away: Karlberg
01.09.24
H2H
Piteå
Karlberg
1
1
D

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
3 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
12 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L