Pisa vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
63.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Pisa
Lecce
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pisa
36 matches
Lecce
36 matches
| Pisa | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 8 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 21 | Losses | 20 |
| 24 | Goals For | 24 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 21 | Failed To Score | 19 |
| 2.69 | Shots On Goal | 2.33 |
| 9.56 | Total Shots | 9.64 |
| 3.58 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 40.8% | Ball Possession | 41.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pisa expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Lecce in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lecce having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lecce.
Pisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 34 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 12 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 24:61, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Angori (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Denoon, M. Marin, M. Tramoni unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 29 points from 34 games and a place of 17, Lecce still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 22:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lameck Banda (3 goals), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals), Nikola Štulić (3 goals), with creative support from Antonino Gallo (4 assists), Lameck Banda (3 assists), M. Berisha (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without S. Fofana, K. Gaspar, M. Berisha, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Pisa won 2 times, Lecce won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Pisa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Away
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 |
Pisa
Home
|
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|