ITALY SERIE A
19.04.2026 16:00
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Referee: V. Crezzini
Pisa
Match Timeline
Genoa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
S. Canestrelli · Assist: S. Angori
Pisa
🟨
32'
Arturo Calabresi
Pisa
41'
J. Ekhator · Assist: T. Baldanzi
Genoa
55'
L. Colombo
Genoa
🔄
56'
F. Loyola ↔ H. Meister
Pisa
🔄
61'
E. Akinsanmiro ↔ J. Cuadrado
Pisa
🔄
61'
A. Calabresi ↔ I. Vural
Pisa
🔄
65'
T. Baldanzi ↔ Junior Messias
Genoa
🔄
65'
J. Ekhator ↔ J. Onana
Genoa
🟨
67'
Leo Østigård
Genoa
🔄
70'
I. Toure ↔ G. Piccinini
Pisa
🔄
70'
M. Tramoni ↔ R. Durosinmi
Pisa
🔄
78'
Amorim ↔ Vitinha
Genoa
🔄
79'
L. Colombo ↔ C. Ekuban
Genoa
🟨
80'
Michel Aebischer
Pisa
🔄
86'
S. Sabelli ↔ S. Otoa
Genoa
🟨
87'
Antonio Caracciolo
Pisa

Pisa vs Genoa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Pisa Win 15.4%
Draw 31.4%
Genoa Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pisa0.98
Genoa1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pisa Pisa
WWDLW
23 GF / 59 GA
Genoa Genoa
WLDWL
44 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
13
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
21
2.65
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pisa Pisa 34 matches
Genoa Genoa 35 matches
Pisa Statistic Genoa
2 Wins 11
13 Draws 9
19 Losses 15
23 Goals For 44
59 Goals Against 50
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
13 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 8
20 Failed To Score 12
2.65 Shots On Goal 4.03
9.41 Total Shots 11.83
3.53 Corners 3.77
40.5% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Genoa seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. Pisa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pisa expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Genoa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. Genoa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 36 points while Pisa sit 20 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Pisa Analysis

Pisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 12 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 23:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Moreo (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Denoon, M. Marin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Genoa Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Genoa have collected 36 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 38:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with B. Norton-Cuffy, M. E. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, R. Malinovskyi unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Pisa won 0 times, Genoa won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Pisa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Pisa 3-5-2 / Genoa 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Pisa 2, Genoa 5
H2H summary: Pisa wins 0, draws 2, Genoa wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa Away
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa Home
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B