Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
56.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.4%
|
- |
Pisa
Genoa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pisa
34 matches
Genoa
35 matches
| Pisa | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 11 |
| 13 | Draws | 9 |
| 19 | Losses | 15 |
| 23 | Goals For | 44 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 0.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 20 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 2.65 | Shots On Goal | 4.03 |
| 9.41 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 3.53 | Corners | 3.77 |
| 40.5% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Genoa seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. Pisa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pisa expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Genoa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. Genoa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 36 points while Pisa sit 20 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Pisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 12 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 23:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Moreo (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Denoon, M. Marin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
From their first 32 matches, Genoa have collected 36 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 38:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with B. Norton-Cuffy, M. E. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, R. Malinovskyi unavailable.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Pisa won 0 times, Genoa won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Pisa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Pisa
4
5
4
3
4
5
Lineups
Pisa
Lazio
Pisa
Napoli
Pisa
Cremonese
Pisa
Lecce
Pisa
Parma
Pisa
AS Roma
Pisa
Torino
Pisa
Como
Pisa
Cagliari
Pisa
Juventus
Pisa
Bologna
Pisa
Fiorentina
Pisa
AC Milan
Pisa
Hellas Verona
Pisa
Sassuolo
Pisa
Inter
Pisa
Atalanta
Pisa
Udinese
Pisa
Como
Pisa
Genoa
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Pisa
Pisa
Napoli
Pisa
Lecce
Pisa
Torino
Pisa
Cagliari
Pisa
Bologna
Pisa
AC Milan
Pisa
Sassuolo
Pisa
Atalanta
Pisa
Como
Pisa
Juventus
Pisa
Parma
Pisa
Inter
Pisa
Cremonese
Pisa
Lazio
Pisa
Hellas Verona
Pisa
Fiorentina
Pisa
Udinese
Pisa
AS Roma
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Bologna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 |
Pisa
Home
|
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|