SENEGAL › LIGUE 1
13.05.2026 17:00

Pikine vs Jaraaf Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
78.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
79.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pikine Win 32.3%
Draw 46.1%
Jaraaf Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pikine0.66
Jaraaf0.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pikine Pikine
WWDLW
18 GF / 14 GA
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.62
0.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
4
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pikine Pikine 26 matches
Jaraaf Jaraaf 26 matches
Pikine Statistic Jaraaf
7 Wins 7
12 Draws 12
7 Losses 7
18 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 16
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.62
0.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
4 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
16 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Pikine's more proactive style and Jaraaf's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Jaraaf. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jaraaf having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Pikine Analysis

Pikine are currently 8 in the standings with 33 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, while the 18:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Jaraaf Analysis

From their first 26 matches, Jaraaf have collected 33 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pikine won 6 times, Jaraaf won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Pikine's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.3%)
H2H summary: Pikine wins 6, draws 4, Jaraaf wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
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3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
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4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
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Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation