Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.7%
|
2.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.33 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.27 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
7.50 |
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Philadelphia Union
28 matches
Inter Miami
25 matches
| Philadelphia Union | Statistic | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 50 | Goals For | 53 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.12 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.87 | Shots On Goal | 5.71 |
| 15.87 | Total Shots | 14.19 |
| 6.13 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Miami's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Inter Miami. Inter Miami look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Inter Miami carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 38 points while Philadelphia Union sit 13 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Philadelphia Union sit 13 with 16 points after 18 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 25:33 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Milan Iloski (8 goals), Nathan Harriel (1 goals), Bruno Damiani (1 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Nathan Harriel (1 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 38 points from 18 games, Inter Miami bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a 45:32 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Lionel Messi (8 goals), Luis Suárez (8 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (7 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (4 assists), Germán Berterame (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, Inter Miami won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:28 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Austin
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
DC United
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Philadelphia Union
Buducnost Podgorica
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
DC United
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
Inter Miami
Alianza Lima
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:15 | 24 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Inter Miami
Away
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 46:36 | 10 | 38 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 46:45 | 1 | 27 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 24 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 31:48 | -17 | 21 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Philadelphia Union
Home
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25:36 | -11 | 17 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 15 |
W
L
L
D
L
|