Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63%
|
1.70 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.36 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.1%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Philadelphia Union
32 matches
FC Cincinnati
31 matches
| Philadelphia Union | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 58 | Goals For | 74 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.39 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 5.81 |
| 15.85 | Total Shots | 13.27 |
| 6.07 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 47.7% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Cincinnati. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Philadelphia Union expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Philadelphia Union are currently 12 in the standings with 24 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 34:39 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Milan Iloski (9 goals), Bruno Damiani (3 goals), Cavan Sullivan (2 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Bruno Damiani (2 assists), Cavan Sullivan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
FC Cincinnati are currently 6 in the standings with 31 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 49:51 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 6 times, FC Cincinnati won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:26 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 9 |
Philadelphia Union
Home
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|