MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
14.09.2026 17:00
Stadion Mitar Mico Golis

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.6%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Petrovac Win 56.6%
Draw 26%
Arsenal Tivat Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Petrovac1.4
Arsenal Tivat0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Petrovac Petrovac
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
8 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.62
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
2.31
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Petrovac Petrovac 15 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 13 matches
Petrovac Statistic Arsenal Tivat
3 Wins 1
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 8
12 Goals For 8
13 Goals Against 30
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.62
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 2.31
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Petrovac's more proactive style and Arsenal Tivat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arsenal Tivat. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Tivat having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Petrovac Analysis

So far, Petrovac have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 4:2 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Arsenal Tivat have collected 4 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Petrovac won 3 times, Arsenal Tivat won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Petrovac's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.6%)
H2H summary: Petrovac wins 3, draws 8, Arsenal Tivat wins 4

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:3 5 13
L W W W W
2 6 3 3 0 8:4 4 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W W L W D
4 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W L D L W
5 6 2 2 2 2:3 -1 8
L D D L W
6 6 1 4 1 4:2 2 7
D D D W D
7 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L D L L
8 6 1 2 3 6:7 -1 5
D W D L L
9 6 1 2 3 2:6 -4 5
L D L D L
10 6 0 4 2 3:7 -4 4
L L D D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga