ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Ilie Oană
Referee: I. Calin
Petrolul Ploiesti
Match Timeline
Uta Arad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
A. Benga
Uta Arad
🟨
15'
Roman Alin
Uta Arad
🟨
17'
Diogo Rodrigues
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟨
21'
Sota Mino
Uta Arad
🔄
46'
A. Chica-Rosa ↔ A. Aymbetov
Petrolul Ploiesti
🟨
62'
Paul Papp
Petrolul Ploiesti
VAR
65'
Florent Poulolo
Uta Arad
🔄
66'
R. Hermann ↔ V. Gheorghe
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
72'
R. Pop ↔ A. Botogan
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
76'
A. Roman ↔ M. Tzionis
Uta Arad
🔄
81'
D. Dongmo ↔ S. Hanca
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
81'
D. Rodrigues ↔ Ricardinho
Petrolul Ploiesti
🔄
83'
S. Mino ↔ D. Hrezdac
Uta Arad
🔄
83'
D. Taroi ↔ D. Ciubancan
Uta Arad
🔄
89'
H. Abdallah ↔ M. Stolnik
Uta Arad
VAR
90+5'
Tommi Jyry
Petrolul Ploiesti
90'
G. Grozav
Petrolul Ploiesti

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Petrolul Ploiesti Win 74.2%
Draw 0%
Uta Arad Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Petrolul Ploiesti1.05
Uta Arad1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
WWDLW
30 GF / 39 GA
Uta Arad Uta Arad
WLDWL
50 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
16
BTTS Yes
21
10
Over 2.5
18
3.47
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti 36 matches
Uta Arad Uta Arad 36 matches
Petrolul Ploiesti Statistic Uta Arad
9 Wins 14
12 Draws 11
15 Losses 11
30 Goals For 50
39 Goals Against 50
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
16 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 28
10 Over 2.5 18
3 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 10
3.47 Shots On Goal 4.31
12.28 Total Shots 13.42
4.89 Corners 4.72
46.7% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Uta Arad. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Petrolul Ploiesti Analysis

So far, Petrolul Ploiesti have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 32 points from 30 matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 24:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Grozav (6 goals), A. Chica-Rosa (3 goals), Marco Dulca (2 goals), with creative support from Tommi Jyry (3 assists), G. Grozav (2 assists), Marco Dulca (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Uta Arad Analysis

So far, Uta Arad have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 43 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 39:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Costache (9 goals), M. Coman (8 goals), Dmytro Pospelov (7 goals), with creative support from A. Roman (13 assists), V. Costache (4 assists), H. Abdallah (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 times, Uta Arad won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:20 from Petrolul Ploiesti's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1 / Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Petrolul Ploiesti wins 2, draws 5, Uta Arad wins 8
Stats
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad Uta Arad
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
449 Total passes 307
367 Passes accurate 222
1.95 expected_goals 1.57
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Petrolul Ploiesti
Formation
Uta Arad
R. Balbarau
R. Balbarau
D. Rodrigues
D. Rodrigues
P. Papp
P. Papp
Y. Roche
Y. Roche
A. Dumitrescu
A. Dumitrescu
T. Jyry
T. Jyry
D. Dongmo
D. Dongmo
R. Pop
R. Pop
R. Hermann
R. Hermann
G. Grozav
G. Grozav
A. Chica-Rosa
A. Chica-Rosa
A. Gorcea
A. Gorcea
F. Iacob
F. Iacob
F. Poulolo
F. Poulolo
A. Benga
A. Benga
B. Van Durmen
B. Van Durmen
R. Odada
R. Odada
S. Mino
S. Mino
H. Abdallah
H. Abdallah
A. Roman
A. Roman
D. Taroi
D. Taroi
M. Coman
M. Coman
Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Balbarau
G
2
D. Rodrigues
↓ 81' 🟨 17'
D
4
P. Papp
🟨 62'
D
69
Y. Roche
D
23
A. Dumitrescu
D
6
T. Jyry
M
5
D. Dongmo
↓ 81'
M
55
R. Pop
↓ 72'
M
28
R. Hermann
↓ 66'
M
7
G. Grozav
⚽ 90'
M
9
A. Chica-Rosa
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
41
S. Krell
G
77
N. Boateng
M
71
F. Prce
D
17
A. Aymbetov
↑ 46'
F
20
S. Hanca
↑ 81'
D
11
V. Gheorghe
↑ 66'
F
29
K. Ludewig
D
22
C. Ignat
D
64
B. Marian
D
8
A. Mateiu
M
24
Ricardinho
↑ 81'
D
36
A. Botogan
↑ 72'
M
Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
A. Gorcea
G
13
F. Iacob
D
6
F. Poulolo
D
4
A. Benga
⚽ 12'
D
30
B. Van Durmen
D
16
R. Odada
M
5
S. Mino
↓ 83' 🟨 21'
M
11
H. Abdallah
↓ 89'
M
8
A. Roman
↓ 76' 🟨 15'
M
20
D. Taroi
↓ 83'
M
9
M. Coman
F
Substitutes
96
A. Tordai
G
28
M. Stolnik
↑ 89'
D
10
M. Tzionis
↑ 76'
F
97
D. Hrezdac
↑ 83'
M
17
L. Mihai
M
23
O. Popescu
M
60
D. Pospelov
D
98
D. Ciubancan
↑ 83'
F
7
A. Tolcea
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
24.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
0
2
L
02.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chojniczanka Chojnice
4
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Lechia Gdansk
5
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
10.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
Last matches: Uta Arad
24.07.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Oţelul
2
2
D
18.07.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Universitatea Craiova
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Istra 1961
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Dumbrăviţa
4
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Progresul Pecica
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Csikszereda
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Oţelul
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Uta Arad
FC Botosani
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Metaloglobus
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Dumbrăviţa
2
0
W
20.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
FCSB
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
AFC Hermannstadt
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
FCSB
2
4
L
20.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Oţelul
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
FC Botosani
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Csikszereda
0
2
L
04.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
H2H: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Uta Arad
03.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
08.12.25
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
0
L
30.10.25
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
01.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
L
05.05.25
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
1
L
04.10.24
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
1
L
22.04.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
0
D
17.03.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
0
W
05.11.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
2
1
W
25.07.22
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
0
L
15.07.20
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
08.12.19
H2H
Uta Arad
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
0
L
Last matches: Petrolul Ploiesti
19.07.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
Chindia Targoviste
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Petrolul Ploiesti
ASA Targu Mures
1
1
D
18.05.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
1
5
L
19.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
0
1
L
19.01.26
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
0
4
L
14.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
0
1
L
01.12.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Metaloglobus
4
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Oţelul
0
0
D
03.11.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Botosani
0
0
D
20.10.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rapid
0
1
L
15.09.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
3
L
16.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
AFC Hermannstadt
1
1
D
01.08.25
Lig
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
L
H2H at home: Petrolul Ploiesti
03.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
01.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
L
15.02.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
1
L
22.04.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
0
D
17.03.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
0
W
05.11.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
2
1
W
Last matches: Uta Arad
18.07.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Universitatea Craiova
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Istra 1961
2
2
D
20.06.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Progresul Pecica
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Unirea Slobozia
1
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Oţelul
0
1
L
20.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
FCSB
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
20.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Oţelul
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Csikszereda
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Arges Pitesti
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Uta Arad
Unirea Slobozia
3
1
W
08.01.26
Fri
Uta Arad
Bekescsaba 1912
1
0
W
15.12.25
Lig
Uta Arad
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
30.11.25
Lig
Uta Arad
AFC Hermannstadt
2
1
W
09.11.25
Lig
Uta Arad
Universitatea Craiova
2
1
W
26.10.25
Lig
Uta Arad
FCSB
0
4
L
06.10.25
Lig
Uta Arad
FC Botosani
1
2
L
21.09.25
Lig
Uta Arad
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
1
D
29.08.25
Lig
Uta Arad
Rapid
0
2
L
15.08.25
Lig
Uta Arad
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
H2H away: Uta Arad
03.05.26
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
01.08.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
1
W
22.04.24
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
0
0
D
17.03.23
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
1
0
L
05.11.22
H2H
Petrolul Ploiesti
Uta Arad
2
1
L

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2 9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation