ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Weston Homes Stadium
Referee: L. Sandoe
Peterborough
Match Timeline
Mansfield Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
61'
B. Shofowoke ↔ M. Garbett
Peterborough
🔄
66'
J. Mendy ↔ H. Mills
Peterborough
🔄
69'
T. Roberts ↔ R. Oates
Mansfield Town
🟨
76'
Stephen McLaughlin
Mansfield Town
🔄
78'
S. McLaughlin ↔ N. Moriah-Welsh
Mansfield Town
🔄
82'
B. Woods ↔ B. Khela
Peterborough
🔄
82'
D. Kamara ↔ O. Aderoju
Peterborough
🟨
90+1'
Elliott Hewitt
Mansfield Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 12.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66%
-
BTTS BTTS No
12.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
15.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Peterborough Win 34%
Draw 0%
Mansfield Town Win 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
Peterborough1.28
Mansfield Town1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Peterborough Peterborough
WWDLW
64 GF / 66 GA
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WLDWL
68 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
26
BTTS Yes
29
25
Over 2.5
24
4.02
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Peterborough Peterborough 46 matches
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 49 matches
Peterborough Statistic Mansfield Town
16 Wins 18
7 Draws 17
23 Losses 14
64 Goals For 68
66 Goals Against 55
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
26 BTTS Yes 29
36 Over 1.5 38
25 Over 2.5 24
11 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 11
4.02 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.54 Total Shots 11.25
4.26 Corners 4.44
54% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Mansfield Town's more proactive style and Peterborough's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Peterborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mansfield Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mansfield Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 61 points while Peterborough sit 19 on 52, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Peterborough expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mansfield Town in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control.

Peterborough Analysis

Peterborough sit 19 with 52 points after 44 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 63:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Leonard (15 goals), J. Morgan (12 goals), Kyrell Lisbie (11 goals), with creative support from Archie Collins (7 assists), Kyrell Lisbie (6 assists), H. Leonard (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mansfield Town Analysis

From their first 44 matches, Mansfield Town have collected 61 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 16 draws, and 13 losses, while the 57:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Evans (8 goals), L. Akins (7 goals), R. Oates (7 goals), with creative support from R. Oates (3 assists), R. Hendry (3 assists), Stephen McLaughlin (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough won 2 times, Mansfield Town won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Peterborough's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Peterborough 4-2-3-1 / Mansfield Town 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Peterborough wins 2, draws 2, Mansfield Town wins 2
Stats
Peterborough Peterborough
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 7
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
374 Total passes 376
271 Passes accurate 269
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Peterborough
Formation
Mansfield Town
A. Bass
A. Bass
J. Dornelly
J. Dornelly
T. Lees
T. Lees
D. Okagbue
D. Okagbue
J. Mendy
J. Mendy
A. Collins
A. Collins
B. Woods
B. Woods
B. Shofowoke
B. Shofowoke
H. Leonard
H. Leonard
K. Lisbie
K. Lisbie
D. Kamara
D. Kamara
L. Roberts
L. Roberts
K. Knoyle
K. Knoyle
E. Hewitt
E. Hewitt
R. Sweeney
R. Sweeney
S. McLaughlin
S. McLaughlin
L. Reed
L. Reed
L. Akins
L. Akins
J. Russell
J. Russell
R. Hendry
R. Hendry
W. Evans
W. Evans
T. Roberts
T. Roberts
Peterborough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Bass
G
33
J. Dornelly
D
12
T. Lees
D
26
D. Okagbue
D
40
J. Mendy
↓ 66'
D
4
A. Collins
M
16
B. Woods
↓ 82'
M
36
B. Shofowoke
↓ 61'
M
27
H. Leonard
M
17
K. Lisbie
M
34
D. Kamara
↓ 82'
Substitutes
31
B. Smith
G
18
C. Hayes
M
8
B. Khela
↑ 82'
M
28
M. Garbett
↑ 61'
M
23
H. Mills
↑ 66'
D
39
O. Aderoju
↑ 82'
24
J. Morgan
Mansfield Town 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
1
L. Roberts
G
2
K. Knoyle
D
4
E. Hewitt
🟨 90+1'
D
5
R. Sweeney
D
3
S. McLaughlin
↓ 78' 🟨 76'
D
25
L. Reed
M
7
L. Akins
M
13
J. Russell
M
24
R. Hendry
M
11
W. Evans
F
29
T. Roberts
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
↑ 78'
M
9
J. Bowery
D
18
R. Oates
↑ 69'
F
28
J. Gardner
F
44
O. Irow
F
34
O. Taylor
32
E. Hartmann
M
Last matches: Peterborough
02.05.26
Lea
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Stockport County
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Burton Albion
1
1
D
16.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Port Vale
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Blackpool
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Luton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Rotherham
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Northampton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Exeter City
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Barnsley
1
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Bradford
0
2
L
10.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Wigan
6
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Huddersfield
2
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Stevenage
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Wycombe
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Plymouth
0
1
L
Last matches: Mansfield Town
02.05.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
5
4
W
25.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
4
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Luton
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Wigan
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Doncaster
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Northampton
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bradford
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Reading
1
0
W
07.03.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Blackpool
0
1
L
14.02.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Burnley
2
1
W
10.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Exeter City
0
0
D
H2H: Peterborough vs Mansfield Town
28.04.26
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
10.02.26
H2H
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
1
2
W
30.04.25
H2H
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
4
2
L
26.12.24
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
26.09.23
H2H
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
2
2
D
11.08.20
H2H
Mansfield Town
Peterborough
0
2
W
Last matches: Peterborough
02.05.26
Lea
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Burton Albion
1
1
D
16.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Port Vale
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Rotherham
5
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Exeter City
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Wigan
6
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Huddersfield
2
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Plymouth
0
1
L
10.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Bolton
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Reading
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Northampton
2
1
W
06.12.25
FA
Peterborough
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
Stevenage
0
1
L
20.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
Stockport County
3
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
5
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Peterborough
Blackpool
1
2
L
27.09.25
Lea
Peterborough
Lincoln
0
3
L
H2H at home: Peterborough
28.04.26
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
26.12.24
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
Last matches: Mansfield Town
25.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Huddersfield
4
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Stockport County
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Wigan
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Doncaster
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bradford
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
0
0
D
17.02.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Blackpool
0
1
L
14.02.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Burnley
2
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Plymouth
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lea
Mansfield Town
Stevenage
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Mansfield Town
Sheffield Utd
4
3
W
29.12.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Bolton
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Barnsley
3
2
W
13.12.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
0
0
D
06.12.25
FA
Mansfield Town
Accrington ST
1
1
D
29.11.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Northampton
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Luton
2
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Mansfield Town
Reading
1
1
D
H2H away: Mansfield Town
28.04.26
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
26.12.24
H2H
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
3
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two