ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
28.04.2026 18:45
Weston Homes Stadium
Referee: L. Sandoe
Peterborough
Match Timeline
Mansfield Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
61'
B. Shofowoke ↔ M. Garbett
Peterborough
🔄
66'
J. Mendy ↔ H. Mills
Peterborough
🔄
69'
T. Roberts ↔ R. Oates
Mansfield Town
🟨
76'
Stephen McLaughlin
Mansfield Town
🔄
78'
S. McLaughlin ↔ N. Moriah-Welsh
Mansfield Town
🔄
82'
B. Woods ↔ B. Khela
Peterborough
🔄
82'
D. Kamara ↔ O. Aderoju
Peterborough
🟨
90+1'
Elliott Hewitt
Mansfield Town

Peterborough vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 12.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66%
-
BTTS BTTS No
12.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
15.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Peterborough Win 34%
Draw 0%
Mansfield Town Win 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
Peterborough1.28
Mansfield Town1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Peterborough Peterborough
WWDLW
64 GF / 66 GA
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WLDWL
68 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
26
BTTS Yes
29
25
Over 2.5
24
4.02
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Peterborough Peterborough 46 matches
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 49 matches
Peterborough Statistic Mansfield Town
16 Wins 18
7 Draws 17
23 Losses 14
64 Goals For 68
66 Goals Against 55
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
26 BTTS Yes 29
36 Over 1.5 38
25 Over 2.5 24
11 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 11
4.02 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.54 Total Shots 11.25
4.26 Corners 4.44
54% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Mansfield Town's more proactive style and Peterborough's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Peterborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mansfield Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mansfield Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 61 points while Peterborough sit 19 on 52, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Peterborough expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mansfield Town in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control.

Peterborough Analysis

Peterborough sit 19 with 52 points after 44 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 63:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Leonard (15 goals), J. Morgan (12 goals), Kyrell Lisbie (11 goals), with creative support from Archie Collins (7 assists), Kyrell Lisbie (6 assists), H. Leonard (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mansfield Town Analysis

From their first 44 matches, Mansfield Town have collected 61 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 16 draws, and 13 losses, while the 57:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Evans (8 goals), L. Akins (7 goals), R. Oates (7 goals), with creative support from R. Oates (3 assists), R. Hendry (3 assists), Stephen McLaughlin (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough won 3 times, Mansfield Town won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Peterborough's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Peterborough 4-2-3-1 / Mansfield Town 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Peterborough wins 3, draws 2, Mansfield Town wins 2

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two