ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia
Referee: D. Doveri
Pescara
Match Timeline
Spezia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
D. Faraoni
Pescara
🔄
24'
M. Valoti ↔ L. Vignali
Spezia
🟨
33'
Luca Vignali
Spezia
🟨
41'
Giacomo Olzer
Pescara
🔄
46'
E. Adamo ↔ L. Sernicola
Spezia
🔄
46'
G. Di Serio ↔ G. Artistico
Spezia
VAR
53'
Leonardo Sernicola
Spezia
🔄
66'
C. Comotto ↔ A. Nagy
Spezia
🟨
70'
Alessandro Romano
Spezia
🔄
71'
G. Acampora ↔ F. Caligara
Pescara
73'
G. Artistico · Assist: G. Lapadula
Spezia
🔄
76'
P. Beruatto ↔ G. Aurelio
Spezia
🔄
78'
G. Letizia ↔ A. Oliveri
Pescara
🔄
79'
L. Valzania ↔ F. Tsadjout
Pescara
🔄
80'
D. Faraoni ↔ G. Altare
Pescara
🟨
81'
Ádám Nagy
Spezia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pescara Win 88.1%
Draw 9.4%
Spezia Win 2.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pescara1.41
Spezia1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pescara Pescara
WWDLW
51 GF / 67 GA
Spezia Spezia
WLDWL
45 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
24
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
18
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pescara Pescara 39 matches
Spezia Spezia 39 matches
Pescara Statistic Spezia
8 Wins 8
13 Draws 12
18 Losses 19
51 Goals For 45
67 Goals Against 61
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
24 BTTS Yes 23
34 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 12
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.08
13.9 Total Shots 11.51
4.95 Corners 4.82
48.9% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spezia. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pescara expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Spezia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spezia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spezia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Pescara Analysis

Pescara sit 18 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 50:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Di Nardo (14 goals), G. Olzer (6 goals), L. Meazzi (6 goals), with creative support from A. Di Nardo (4 assists), M. Dagasso (4 assists), G. Letizia (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spezia Analysis

Spezia sit 19 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 42:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (12 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (5 goals), with creative support from P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Pescara won 3 times, Spezia won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Pescara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (97.5%)
Predicted formations: Pescara 4-3-2-1 / Spezia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Pescara wins 3, draws 1, Spezia wins 4
Stats
Pescara Pescara
Spezia Spezia
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 20
6 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
468 Total passes 306
369 Passes accurate 206
0.87 expected_goals 1.31
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pescara
Formation
Spezia
I. Saio
I. Saio
D. Faraoni
D. Faraoni
R. Capellini
R. Capellini
D. Bettella
D. Bettella
G. Letizia
G. Letizia
L. Valzania
L. Valzania
G. Brugman
G. Brugman
G. Olzer
G. Olzer
G. Acampora
G. Acampora
L. Insigne
L. Insigne
A. Di Nardo
A. Di Nardo
D. Mascardi
D. Mascardi
A. Mateju
A. Mateju
P. Hristov
P. Hristov
G. Bonfanti
G. Bonfanti
P. Beruatto
P. Beruatto
G. Di Serio
G. Di Serio
C. Comotto
C. Comotto
A. Romano
A. Romano
E. Adamo
E. Adamo
M. Valoti
M. Valoti
G. Lapadula
🎯
G. Lapadula
Pescara 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
22
I. Saio
G
19
D. Faraoni
⚽ 10' ↓ 80'
D
2
R. Capellini
D
6
D. Bettella
D
3
G. Letizia
↓ 78'
D
14
L. Valzania
↓ 79'
M
8
G. Brugman
M
27
G. Olzer
🟨 41'
M
13
G. Acampora
↓ 71'
M
11
L. Insigne
M
9
A. Di Nardo
F
Substitutes
44
M. Brondbo
G
26
A. Gravillon
D
21
F. Caligara
↑ 71'
M
15
G. Altare
↑ 80'
D
10
D. Merola
F
95
G. Corbo
D
74
F. Tsadjout
↑ 79'
F
7
L. Meazzi
F
33
A. Oliveri
↑ 78'
M
31
F. Russo
F
20
L. Graziani
M
18
L. Fanne
M
Spezia 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
12
D. Mascardi
G
37
A. Mateju
D
55
P. Hristov
D
94
G. Bonfanti
D
11
P. Beruatto
↓ 76'
D
20
G. Di Serio
↓ 46'
M
34
C. Comotto
↓ 66'
M
60
A. Romano
🟨 70'
M
70
E. Adamo
↓ 46'
M
5
M. Valoti
↓ 24'
F
10
G. Lapadula
🎯 73'
F
Substitutes
22
B. Radunovic
G
16
L. Loria
G
6
A. Bellemo
M
32
L. Vignali
↑ 24' 🟨 33'
D
17
L. Sernicola
↑ 46'
D
31
G. Aurelio
↑ 76'
D
4
M. Ruggero
D
9
G. Artistico
⚽ 73' ↑ 46'
F
90
L. Skjellerup
F
8
A. Nagy
↑ 66' 🟨 81'
M
24
A. Bertoncini
D
Last matches: Pescara
01.05.26
Ser
Pescara
Padova
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Carrarese
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Sampdoria
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Reggiana
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Empoli
2
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Sudtirol
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Bari
4
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Frosinone
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Palermo
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Venezia
2
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Avellino
1
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Catanzaro
0
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Cesena
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Mantova
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Monza
0
3
L
18.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Modena
0
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
L
Last matches: Spezia
01.05.26
Ser
Spezia
Venezia
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Catanzaro
2
4
L
18.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
6
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Monza
4
2
W
03.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Padova
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
0
1
L
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
15.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
1
0
W
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Pescara
2
1
W
H2H: Pescara vs Spezia
08.05.26
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
1
D
27.12.25
H2H
Spezia
Pescara
2
1
L
04.03.20
H2H
Spezia
Pescara
2
0
L
19.10.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
L
03.03.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
2
0
W
19.10.18
H2H
Spezia
Pescara
1
3
W
22.04.18
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
3
2
W
25.11.17
H2H
Spezia
Pescara
4
0
L
Last matches: Pescara
25.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Sampdoria
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
08.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Bari
4
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Palermo
2
1
W
10.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Catanzaro
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Mantova
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Modena
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Reggiana
2
1
W
14.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Frosinone
1
2
L
29.11.25
Ser
Pescara
Padova
0
1
L
09.11.25
Ser
Pescara
Monza
0
2
L
28.10.25
Ser
Pescara
Avellino
1
1
D
18.10.25
Ser
Pescara
Carrarese
2
2
D
01.10.25
Ser
Pescara
Sudtirol
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ser
Pescara
Empoli
4
0
W
13.09.25
Ser
Pescara
Venezia
2
2
D
22.08.25
Ser
Pescara
Cesena
1
3
L
10.08.25
Cop
Pescara
Rimini
1
0
W
H2H at home: Pescara
08.05.26
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
1
D
19.10.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
L
03.03.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
2
0
W
22.04.18
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
3
2
W
Last matches: Spezia
25.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Catanzaro
2
4
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
03.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Padova
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Cesena
3
2
W
11.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Bari
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
18.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Palermo
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Spezia
Sudtirol
1
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Spezia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
1
4
L
02.11.25
Ser
Spezia
Monza
0
1
L
25.10.25
Ser
Spezia
Avellino
4
0
W
30.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
1
1
D
27.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Venezia
0
2
L
24.09.25
Cop
Spezia
Parma
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
H2H away: Spezia
08.05.26
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
1
D
19.10.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
W
03.03.19
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
2
0
L
22.04.18
H2H
Pescara
Spezia
3
2
L

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation