ITALY › SERIE B
08.05.2026 18:30
Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia
Referee: D. Doveri
Pescara
Match Timeline
Spezia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
D. Faraoni
Pescara
🔄
24'
M. Valoti ↔ L. Vignali
Spezia
🟨
33'
Luca Vignali
Spezia
🟨
41'
Giacomo Olzer
Pescara
🔄
46'
E. Adamo ↔ L. Sernicola
Spezia
🔄
46'
G. Di Serio ↔ G. Artistico
Spezia
VAR
53'
Leonardo Sernicola
Spezia
🔄
66'
C. Comotto ↔ A. Nagy
Spezia
🟨
70'
Alessandro Romano
Spezia
🔄
71'
G. Acampora ↔ F. Caligara
Pescara
⚽
73'
G. Artistico · Assist: G. Lapadula
Spezia
🔄
76'
P. Beruatto ↔ G. Aurelio
Spezia
🔄
78'
G. Letizia ↔ A. Oliveri
Pescara
🔄
79'
L. Valzania ↔ F. Tsadjout
Pescara
🔄
80'
D. Faraoni ↔ G. Altare
Pescara
🟨
81'
Ádám Nagy
Spezia

Pescara vs Spezia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pescara Win 88.1%
Draw 9.4%
Spezia Win 2.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pescara1.41
Spezia1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pescara Pescara
WWDLW
51 GF / 67 GA
Spezia Spezia
WLDWL
45 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
24
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
18
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pescara Pescara 39 matches
Spezia Spezia 39 matches
Pescara Statistic Spezia
8 Wins 8
13 Draws 12
18 Losses 19
51 Goals For 45
67 Goals Against 61
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
24 BTTS Yes 23
34 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 12
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.08
13.9 Total Shots 11.51
4.95 Corners 4.82
48.9% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spezia. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pescara expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Spezia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spezia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spezia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Pescara Analysis

Pescara sit 18 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 50:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Di Nardo (14 goals), G. Olzer (6 goals), L. Meazzi (6 goals), with creative support from A. Di Nardo (4 assists), M. Dagasso (4 assists), G. Letizia (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spezia Analysis

Spezia sit 19 with 34 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 42:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (12 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (5 goals), with creative support from P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Pescara won 3 times, Spezia won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Pescara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (97.5%)
Predicted formations: Pescara 4-3-2-1 / Spezia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Pescara wins 3, draws 1, Spezia wins 4

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation