WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Bryntirion Park
Referee: B. Markham-Jones
Penybont
Match Timeline
The New Saints
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
R. Holden
The New Saints
🟨
42'
C. Harrison
The New Saints
🔄
46'
R. Holden ↔ I. Jefferies
The New Saints
🟨
51'
I. Jefferies
The New Saints
🔄
66'
R. Hill ↔ T. Walker
Penybont
🔄
66'
N. Wood ↔ J. Clay
Penybont
🔄
75'
M. Manga ↔ C. Venables
Penybont
🔄
76'
E. Cann ↔ N. Daley
Penybont

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 27.7%
Draw 11.4%
The New Saints Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.07
The New Saints1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
0
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 3 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 6 matches
Penybont Statistic The New Saints
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
3 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
0 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 2 times, The New Saints won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:39 from Penybont's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Penybont 4-4-2 / The New Saints 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Penybont wins 2, draws 3, The New Saints wins 10

Lineups

Penybont
Formation
The New Saints
D. Higgs
D. Higgs
T. Mehew
T. Mehew
M. Davies
M. Davies
N. Wood
N. Wood
O. Pritchard
O. Pritchard
E. Cann
E. Cann
M. Melbourne
M. Melbourne
R. Hill
R. Hill
M. Manga
M. Manga
L. Shephard
L. Shephard
E. Vaughan
E. Vaughan
N. Shepperd
N. Shepperd
D. Corness
D. Corness
J. Bodenham
J. Bodenham
D. Redmond
D. Redmond
E. Farrell
E. Farrell
D. Simeu
D. Simeu
J. Williams
J. Williams
R. Holden
R. Holden
R. Hughes
R. Hughes
L. Smith
L. Smith
D. Davies
D. Davies
Penybont 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Higgs
4
T. Mehew
6
M. Davies
7
N. Wood
↓ 66'
8
O. Pritchard
10
E. Cann
↓ 76'
16
M. Melbourne
19
R. Hill
↓ 66'
24
M. Manga
↓ 75'
32
L. Shephard
33
E. Vaughan
Substitutes
25
A. Pennock
55
J. Mashlan
9
C. Venables
↑ 75'
23
T. Walker
↑ 66'
15
J. Clay
↑ 66'
11
N. Daley
↑ 76'
72
J. Villacorta
The New Saints 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Shepperd
4
D. Corness
6
J. Bodenham
10
D. Redmond
15
E. Farrell
16
D. Simeu
17
J. Williams
18
R. Holden
↓ 46' 🟨 38'
20
R. Hughes
21
L. Smith
22
D. Davies
Substitutes
12
H. Godsmark-Ford
23
Z. Nolan
28
B. Wilson
34
J. Lock
37
I. Jefferies
↑ 46' 🟨 51'
40
E. McCue
Last matches: Penybont
21.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Llandudno
2
1
W
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
Last matches: The New Saints
21.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
5
0
W
14.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
14.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
1
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
H2H: Penybont vs The New Saints
02.08.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
L
11.10.25
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
6
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
4
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
3
2
L
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
3
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
L
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
L
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
25.02.23
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
1
1
D
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
Last matches: Penybont
21.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Llandudno
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
5
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
H2H at home: Penybont
02.08.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
W
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
L
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
L
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
Last matches: The New Saints
21.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
5
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
24.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
llanelli AFC
4
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
0
D
25.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
H2H away: The New Saints
02.08.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
L
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
L
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
W
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
W
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
W
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D