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WALES › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Penybont
NS
The New Saints
Bryntirion Park
Referee: B. Markham-Jones

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 27.7%
Draw 11.4%
The New Saints Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.07
The New Saints1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
0
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 3 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 6 matches
Penybont Statistic The New Saints
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
3 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
0 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 2 times, The New Saints won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:40 from Penybont's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Penybont 4-4-2 / The New Saints 4-3-3
H2H summary: Penybont wins 2, draws 2, The New Saints wins 11
Last matches: Penybont
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
Last matches: The New Saints
30.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
14.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
1
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
H2H: Penybont vs The New Saints
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
L
11.10.25
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
6
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
4
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
3
2
L
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
3
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
L
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
L
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
25.02.23
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
1
1
D
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
20.08.22
H2H
The New Saints
Penybont
1
0
L
Last matches: Penybont
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
5
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
H2H at home: Penybont
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
W
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
L
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
L
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
Last matches: The New Saints
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
24.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
llanelli AFC
4
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
0
D
25.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
0
W
H2H away: The New Saints
14.03.26
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
0
L
20.09.24
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
1
L
07.10.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
1
4
W
08.04.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
2
5
W
04.03.23
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
W
19.11.22
H2H
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Colwyn Bay
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2
Airbus UK
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3
Caernarfon Town
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5
Haverfordwest County AFC
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
The New Saints Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7
Flint Town United
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
Briton Ferry
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9
Cambrian & Clydach
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10
Llandudno
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11
Ammanford AFC
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12
Barry Town
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13
Cardiff MET
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
Holywell
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15
Penybont Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16
Trefelin
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)