05.09.2026 11:30
Bryntirion Park
Referee: A. D. Livesey
Penybont
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
J. Leko ↔ O. Pritchard
Penybont
🔄
20'
R. Hill ↔ E. Cann
Penybont
28'
O. Pritchard
Penybont
🟨
31'
E. Vaughan
Penybont
🟨
40'
E. Roberts
Colwyn Bay
🟨
41'
C. Bratley
Colwyn Bay
🟨
54'
L. Robles
Colwyn Bay
🔄
64'
A. Davies ↔ A. Moore
Colwyn Bay
🟨
68'
T. Walker
Penybont
🔄
71'
↔ A. Baker
Penybont
🔄
72'
T. Walker ↔ M. Manga
Penybont
🔄
75'
M. Hill ↔ L. Sirrell
Colwyn Bay
🔄
85'
J. Davies ↔ J. Kenny
Colwyn Bay
🟨
90+3'
J. Kenny
Colwyn Bay

Penybont vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
1.25
BTTS Yes
66.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.42
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 50%
Draw 18.2%
Colwyn Bay Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.46
Colwyn Bay1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
13 GF / 9 GA
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 9 matches
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 12 matches
Penybont Statistic Colwyn Bay
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 18
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 3 times, Colwyn Bay won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Penybont's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
H2H summary: Penybont wins 3, draws 2, Colwyn Bay wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)