WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
28.05.2026 00:30
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Referee: K. Ortega
Penarol
Match Timeline
Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
A. Zapata · Assist: N. Bustos
Santa Fe
🔄
24'
L. Angulo ↔ E. Darias
Penarol
🔄
46'
D. Laxalt ↔ A. Hernandez
Penarol
🔄
46'
F. Escobar ↔ Lucas Hernandez
Penarol
🔄
46'
B. Barboza ↔ E. Gularte
Penarol
🔄
46'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea ↔ J. Obrian
Santa Fe
🟨
53'
E. Gularte
Penarol
🔄
60'
N. Bustos ↔ Y. Velasquez
Santa Fe
🔄
65'
A. Zapata ↔ L. Palacios
Santa Fe
🔄
69'
M. Lemos ↔ J. Cabrera
Penarol
🟨
72'
M. Puerta
Santa Fe
🔄
74'
M. Puerta ↔ I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
Santa Fe
🟨
82'
J. Cabrera
Penarol
🟨
83'
J. Angulo
Santa Fe

Penarol vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 79.5%
Draw 20.6%
Santa Fe Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.31
Santa Fe1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol Penarol
WWDLW
31 GF / 24 GA
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WLDWL
42 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
22
9
Over 2.5
14
4
Shots on Goal
4.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penarol Penarol 22 matches
Santa Fe Santa Fe 29 matches
Penarol Statistic Santa Fe
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 13
6 Losses 7
31 Goals For 42
24 Goals Against 34
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 22
19 Over 1.5 25
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 4.61
11.6 Total Shots 12.5
3 Corners 4.61
39% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 0 times, Santa Fe won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Penarol's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Penarol 4-1-4-1 / Santa Fe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Penarol wins 0, draws 1, Santa Fe wins 1

Standings

Group E
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D D W W
2 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W L D W W
3 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
4 6 0 3 3 4:8 -4 3
L D D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals