Penarol
Match Timeline
Corinthians
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 32.4%
Draw 22.4%
Corinthians Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.22
Corinthians1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
13
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.35
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
20 matches
Corinthians
20 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 21 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 3 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 40% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 2 times, Corinthians won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Penarol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Penarol 5-4-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Penarol wins 2, draws 1, Corinthians wins 1
Stats
Penarol
Corinthians
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Penarol
Formation
Corinthians
W. Aguerre
F. Escobar
E. Gularte
M. Lemos
M. Olivera
G. Togni
L. Umpierrez
Jesus Trindade
D. Laxalt
E. Darias
M. Arezo
Hugo Souza
P. Milans
Gabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique
F. Angileri
Allan
Andre
Kaio Cesar
M. Pereira
Z. Labyad
Pedro Raul
Penarol
5-4-1
Starting XI
29
W. Aguerre
G
2
F. Escobar
D
4
E. Gularte
D
↓ 60'
3
M. Lemos
D
15
M. Olivera
D
⚽ 19'
23
G. Togni
D
32
L. Umpierrez
M
21
Jesus Trindade
M
🎯 19'
93
D. Laxalt
M
↓ 71'
13
E. Darias
M
↓ 60'
19
M. Arezo
F
↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
S. Britos
G
11
A. Hernandez
F
↑ 71'
27
Lucas Hernandez
D
5
E. Remedi
M
9
F. Batista
F
↑ 71'
16
T. Olase
M
77
L. Angulo
F
↑ 60'
30
S. Muhlethaler
M
18
G. Barbas
36
B. Barboza
D
↑ 71'
22
F. Alvez
D
↑ 60'
14
K. Rodriguez
D
Corinthians
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Hugo Souza
G
20
P. Milans
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
26
F. Angileri
D
29
Allan
M
49
Andre
M
37
Kaio Cesar
M
↓ 84'
23
M. Pereira
M
↓ 73'
52
Z. Labyad
M
⚽ 63'
↓ 74'
18
Pedro Raul
F
↓ 74'
Substitutes
51
Kaue
G
5
Andre Ramalho
D
77
J. Lingard
M
↑ 74'
9
Yuri Alberto
F
↑ 74'
14
Raniele
M
2
Matheuzinho
D
7
Breno Bidon
M
56
Gui Negao
F
19
A. Carrillo
M
35
Charles Rigon
M
8
R. Garro
M
↑ 73'
61
Dieguinho
M
↑ 84'
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
H2H: Penarol vs Corinthians
22.05.26
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
01.05.26
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
L
14.05.21
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
4
0
W
29.04.21
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
0
2
W
Last matches: Penarol
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
3
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Penarol
CA River Plate
2
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
3
0
W
H2H at home: Penarol
22.05.26
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.05.21
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
4
0
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
H2H away: Corinthians
22.05.26
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.05.21
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
4
0
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 1 |
Corinthians
Away
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Home
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|