AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
--.--.---- --:--
Genis Steel Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
1.29
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.64
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Preston Lions Win 70.8%
Draw 8.1%
Green Gully Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preston Lions1.67
Green Gully0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preston Lions Preston Lions
WWDLW
31 GF / 16 GA
Green Gully Green Gully
WLDWL
17 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preston Lions Preston Lions 21 matches
Green Gully Green Gully 22 matches
Preston Lions Statistic Green Gully
13 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 14
31 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 43
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
7 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Preston Lions's more proactive style and Green Gully's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Green Gully having the stronger overall control. Preston Lions arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 42 points compared to Green Gully in 14 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Green Gully. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Preston Lions come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Preston Lions Analysis

Preston Lions come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 42 points after 21 matches. With 13 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Green Gully Analysis

With 14 points from 22 games and a place of 14, Green Gully still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 17:43, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Preston Lions won 3 times, Green Gully won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Preston Lions's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Preston Lions wins 3, draws 0, Green Gully wins 0
Last matches: Preston Lions
24.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
0
D
10.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
3
2
W
27.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
2
0
W
20.06.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
1
0
W
31.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
1
0
W
24.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Altona Magic
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Green Gully
4
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
3
L
28.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
2
1
W
13.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
01.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Melbourne City II
3
0
W
20.02.26
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
3
0
W
Last matches: Green Gully
24.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
0
0
D
17.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
3
L
03.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
W
28.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
2
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Hume City
2
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
0
2
L
30.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
22.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
15.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Melbourne City II
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Oakleigh Cannons
0
5
L
24.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
1
2
L
11.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
1
1
D
28.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
0
4
L
13.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
0
1
L
06.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Hume City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
0
5
L
H2H: Preston Lions vs Green Gully
24.04.26
H2H
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
4
W
15.08.25
H2H
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
Preston Lions
Green Gully
3
2
W
Last matches: Preston Lions
24.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
10.07.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Hume City
2
1
W
24.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vic
Preston Lions
South Melbourne
0
3
L
20.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Avondale
2
1
W
13.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vic
Preston Lions
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Vic
Preston Lions
St. Albans Saints
3
0
W
09.11.25
Aus
Preston Lions
Canberra FC
0
0
D
24.10.25
Aus
Preston Lions
Avondale
0
0
D
11.10.25
Aus
Preston Lions
NWS Spirit
1
1
D
H2H at home: Preston Lions
02.05.25
H2H
Preston Lions
Green Gully
3
2
W
Last matches: Green Gully
28.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
2
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Hume City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
08.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
1
2
L
11.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
1
1
D
28.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
0
4
L
28.02.26
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
0
5
L
13.02.26
Vic
Green Gully
Heidelberg United
1
2
L
H2H away: Green Gully
02.05.25
H2H
Preston Lions
Green Gully
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.96
Draw 5.25
Home 1.29
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 2.75 1.81
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.58
Over 3.75 2.98
Under 2.0 3.37
Under 2.25 2.58
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 3.75 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 4.75
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.50
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.45
Draw 4.95
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.36
Draw 2.50
Home 1.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.02
Draw 2.98
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 2.75 1.72
Over 3.0 1.95
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.52
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.74
Over 4.25 4.06
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.70
Over 5.25 7.65
Over 5.5 8.30
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.20
Under 1.0 9.80
Under 1.25 5.96
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 1.75 3.84
Under 2.0 3.42
Under 2.25 2.56
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.25 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 4.20
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.45
Home 1.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 4.5 4.60
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.5 1.13

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 45:20 25 47
L W W D W
2 21 13 3 5 31:16 15 42
W D W W W
3 22 12 4 6 42:28 14 40
L L L D W
4 22 12 2 8 57:30 27 38
W D L L L
5 22 11 2 9 33:33 0 35
W D W W L
6 22 9 7 6 33:26 7 34
D D D D L
7 22 7 10 5 28:28 0 31
D W D D L
8 21 8 6 7 39:26 13 30
L L D W W
9 22 7 6 9 27:29 -2 27
D L L D W
10 22 7 6 9 27:39 -12 27
W D D D L
11 22 7 5 10 26:36 -10 26
W D W L W
12 22 5 4 13 20:46 -26 19
L W L L L
13 22 4 3 15 23:48 -25 15
L L W L L
14 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D W L W W