Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 0%
Draw 0%
Club Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.48
Club Nacional1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol
WWDLW
46 GF / 29 GA
Club Nacional
WLDWL
42 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
17
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
19
2.67
Shots on Goal
2.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
30 matches
Club Nacional
30 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 46 | Goals For | 42 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 2.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 8.89 | Total Shots | 6.56 |
| 2.67 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 28.6% | Ball Possession | 26.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 2 times, Club Nacional won 4 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Penarol's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Penarol 4-4-2 / Club Nacional 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Penarol wins 2, draws 9, Club Nacional wins 4
Last matches: Penarol
16.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
2
1
W
05.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
5
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
3
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
Last matches: Club Nacional
15.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
H2H: Penarol vs Club Nacional
01.03.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
0
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
09.08.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
3
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
09.02.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
1
D
26.01.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
1
D
29.03.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
24.01.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
2
L
18.01.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
1
D
11.11.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
Last matches: Penarol
16.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
2
1
W
05.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
5
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
3
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
3
0
W
H2H at home: Penarol
01.02.26
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
23.11.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
09.08.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
3
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
29.03.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
24.01.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
2
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
15.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
0
0
D
12.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
H2H away: Club Nacional
01.02.26
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
23.11.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
09.08.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
3
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
06.07.25
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
29.03.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
0
D
24.01.24
H2H
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
2
W
Standings
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
Home
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 17 | 46 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40:24 | 16 | 45 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 45 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Club Nacional
Away
|
24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 30 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 27 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18:37 | -19 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
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