Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Penarol
Boston River
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
26 matches
Boston River
20 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 19 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Penarol's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Penarol arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 37 points compared to Boston River in 12 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boston River.
Penarol come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 20 matches. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 29:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Boston River are currently 12 in the standings with 22 points from 20 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 19:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 10 times, Boston River won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Penarol's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Cerro
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Club Nacional
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
CA River Plate
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Miramar
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Tacuarembo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Rampla Juniors
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Home
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 |
Boston River
Away
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
W
|