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18.10.2026 10:15
MAC³PARK Stadion
Referee: Danny Makkelie
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
GO Ahead Eagles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
S. I. Sigurdarson
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
24'
S. Floranus ↔ D. van der Haar
PEC Zwolle
⚽
47'
S. van Hooijdonk · Assist: D. Mbayo
PEC Zwolle
⚽
58'
T. Oosting
PEC Zwolle
🔄
65'
D. James ↔ T. Galvez
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
65'
E. Linthorst ↔ Y. Salah Rahmouni
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
66'
M. Suray ↔ T. Baeten
GO Ahead Eagles
⚽
70'
T. Oosting · Assist: D. van der Haar
PEC Zwolle
🔄
71'
D. Mbayo ↔ I. Cissoko
PEC Zwolle
🔄
71'
A. Sampsted ↔ O. Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
78'
G. van Zwam ↔ E. Flataker
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
80'
G. van der Wal ↔ J. Burger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
80'
S. van Hooijdonk ↔ K. Kostons
PEC Zwolle
🔄
81'
R. Thomas ↔ T. Velthuis
PEC Zwolle
⚽
89'
K. Kostons · Assist: I. Cissoko
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 19%
Draw 7.3%
GO Ahead Eagles Win 73.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.24
GO Ahead Eagles2.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
L L L D L
3 GF / 16 GA
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
D D D D L
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2.21
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
5
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
11
3.75
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 12 matches
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 14 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic GO Ahead Eagles
2 Wins 6
1 Draws 5
9 Losses 3
11 Goals For 31
30 Goals Against 24
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.21
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
5 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 6.25
11 Total Shots 15.38
4.25 Corners 6.38
40.6% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around GO Ahead Eagles's more proactive style and PEC Zwolle's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. PEC Zwolle have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward GO Ahead Eagles. GO Ahead Eagles carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 11 points while PEC Zwolle sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 16, PEC Zwolle still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Kostons (2 goals), N. Viergever (1 goals), E. Sørensen (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mbayo (2 assists), T. Sommer (1 assists), T. Oosting (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

GO Ahead Eagles Analysis

So far, GO Ahead Eagles have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 19:17 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Tengstedt (6 goals), M. Suray (3 goals), V. Edvardsen (3 goals), with creative support from S. Tengstedt (2 assists), M. Suray (2 assists), V. Edvardsen (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 3 times, GO Ahead Eagles won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:24 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 2, GO Ahead Eagles 2
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 3, draws 4, GO Ahead Eagles wins 7

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 3 0 32:11 21 24
D W W W W
2 10 6 3 1 29:13 16 21
W W D D W
3 10 6 2 2 28:13 15 20
D L W L W
4 10 6 2 2 19:10 9 20
W L D W W
5 10 6 2 2 20:12 8 20
L D L W D
6 10 5 3 2 17:17 0 18
W D D W L
7 10 4 3 3 18:13 5 15
W W L W D
8 10 4 3 3 24:21 3 15
D L W W D
9 10 3 5 2 23:23 0 14
W L D D D
10 10 3 3 4 19:22 -3 12
W D W D W
11 10 3 3 4 17:27 -10 12
D W W L W
12 10 2 5 3 17:18 -1 11
D D D D L
13 10 3 2 5 16:19 -3 11
L L L D L
14 10 2 3 5 17:24 -7 9
L W D L L
15 10 2 2 6 11:23 -12 8
D W L L L
16 10 1 3 6 12:21 -9 6
L L D L D
17 10 1 3 6 13:23 -10 6
L W D D L
18 10 0 2 8 10:32 -22 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie